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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplayrrooster
Record (consensus markets)43% (43–56, n=99)75% (633–207, n=840)33% (2–4, n=6)76% (16–5, n=21)
Consensus PnL-$536K$24K$320K$870
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #14PM monthly #19was PM monthly #920
Sides with the consensus53% (10 of 19 open)62% (119 of 193 open)33% (1 of 3 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +32 pts n=50, ROI +31%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=21Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%83% of 54 at avg 53¢, ROI +30%88% of 17 at avg 73¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢15% (won 11% of 287)34% (won 10% of 30)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 50% of 452)19% (won 29% of 17)19% (won 70% of 10)18% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 68% of 546)13% (won 55% of 11)76% (won 85% of 41)24% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up31% (won 93% of 588)34% (won 83% of 30)6% (won 100% of 3)59% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 11 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpgoogleplayrrooster
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Thunder $115K—Trail Blazers $52KThunder $2.1K
Spread: Magic (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Magic
Magic $169K—Kings $38K—
San Diego Toreros vs. Colorado Buffaloes
opposite sides · consensus Colorado Buffaloes
Colorado Buffaloes $43KSan Diego Toreros $216——
Spread: Heat (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $10KHeat $3.8K——
Spread: Magic (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $11KMagic $468——
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
opposite sides · consensus FURIA
Legacy $4.1K——FURIA $1.9K
Spread: Magic (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.8KMagic $785——
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $121Over $2.5K——
Spread: Heat (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Jazz $15Heat $2.4K——
Spread: Heat (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Jazz $6Heat $1.2K——
Clippers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $6Over $933——
Heat vs. Jazz: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $2.2KUnder $123K—
Spread: Heat (-8.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
Heat $98KHeat $2.4K——
Heat vs. Jazz
same side · consensus Heat
Heat $54KHeat $3.1K——
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group A
same side · consensus FURIA
FURIA $15KFURIA $15——
Spread: Suns (-3.5)
same side · consensus Suns
Suns $7.5KSuns $848——