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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 46% (52–60, n=112) | 75% (697–230, n=927) | 54% (170–143, n=313) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$527K | $59K | $186K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #14 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #29 |
| Sides with the consensus | 57% (4 of 7 open) | 65% (56 of 86 open) | 79% (31 of 39 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=21 | Soccer −8 pts, n=40 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 63% of 1873 at avg 56¢, ROI 0% | 44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23% | 100% of 149 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 82% of 55 at avg 47¢, ROI +32% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 15% (won 11% of 287) | 34% (won 10% of 30) | 2% (won 100% of 3) | 2% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 50% of 452) | 19% (won 29% of 17) | 43% (won 100% of 64) | 65% (won 78% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 68% of 546) | 13% (won 55% of 11) | 42% (won 100% of 62) | 29% (won 94% of 16) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 31% (won 93% of 588) | 34% (won 83% of 30) | 13% (won 100% of 20) | 4% (won 50% of 2) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
14 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Flaznorp | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Trail Blazers | Trail Blazers $307 | Trail Blazers $2.8K | Trail Blazers $2.7K | — |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Thunder $4.1K | Trail Blazers $12K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $999 | Over $11K | — |
| Nets vs. Pelicans: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $64 | Under $1.0K | — |
| Spread: Texas State Bobcats (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | — | Texas State Bobcats $1 | Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros $445 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | — | Warriors $127 | Rockets $81 | — |
| M15 Maanshan: Maxim Zhukov vs Xirui Han same side · consensus Xirui Han | Xirui Han $92K | Xirui Han $72 | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Over $426 | Over $18K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | Over $12K | — |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $93 | Under $2.8K | — |
| Warriors vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $1.4K | Rockets $785 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $88 | Over $2.1K | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $1.8K | — |
| Chiefs vs. Falcons same side · consensus Falcons | — | Falcons $165 | Falcons $982 | — |
| Dolphins vs. Colts same side · consensus Colts | — | Colts $49 | Colts $1.1K | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 229.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $260 | Over $595 | — |
| Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. South Carolina Gamecocks: O/U 129.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $17 | Over $376 | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 223.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $25 | Under $73 | — |
| Spread: Rockets (-6.5) same side · consensus Rockets | — | Rockets $3 | Rockets $52 | — |