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PolyConsensus
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Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)66% (3102–1594, n=4696)63% (993–578, n=1571)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$217K$4.8M$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #528PM monthly #97PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus64% (18 of 28 open)73% (54 of 74 open)56% (63 of 113 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=144——
Settled positions, side won100% of 1883 at avg 76¢, ROI +25%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 100% of 64)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢9% (won 100% of 170)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢21% (won 100% of 394)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up67% (won 100% of 1255)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

11 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x228B8d11EBa89BF1c554f8879a9293B7106DaF4c-1765442354872ndb1RN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $289—Over $360Under $7.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $459—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $253—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.1K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $75—Yes $7No $2.7K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $225—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Athletic Club $775—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.3K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $445—Under $1.1KUnder $960
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $631——No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $991—No $529—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $800—Under $1—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $652——Over $7
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $141—Under $511—
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $355—Under $161—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $192No $216
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $251—No $5—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $41—Under $136—
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2—Over $54—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $20Over $5
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Under $5.2K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $31——Yes $3.5K
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-11-06?
same side · consensus No
Yes $2—Yes $2.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $937——Under $595
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $42Under $801
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $468——Yes $154
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1 - 0 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $57——Yes $71
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2 - 2 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
No $46——No $3