
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 2.5
3 of 4 top Polymarket traders hold Under (75%) · Under at 69¢ · $2K held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Under
4
Under 75%
3 arb excluded
$2.2K
-$82.64
59.4¢ → 69¢
+16% since entry · 3 traders
Smart Money Signal
3 of 4 top traders (75%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%2 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 41¢ | $909.95 | $1.0K | +$119.55 | 52% 16093-14633 (30726) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 46.6¢ | $450.05 | $574.84 | +$124.79 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 41¢ | $459.9 | $454.66 | -$5.24 | |
UP UpTheBlues | Underavg 65.2¢ | $575.24 | $533.39 | -$41.86 | 68% 30682-14740 (45422) |
SM Smallcoins | Underavg 51.9¢ | $339.67 | $304.11 | -$35.55 | 52% 914-830 (1744) |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Overavg 47.3¢ | $323.24 | $272.88 | -$50.36 | 55% 43011-35367 (78378) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 47.3¢ | $243.97 | $172.88 | -$71.08 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 52.7¢ | $79.28 | $100 | +$20.72 | |
![]() HRTradingARB<$100 | Overavg 53¢ | $116.23 | $80.19 | -$41.69 | 58% 1251-901 (2152) |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 82.4¢ | $56.34 | $50.24 | -$6.09 | |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 53¢ | $59.89 | $29.95 | -$35.59 | |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Underavg 53¢ | $20 | $17.55 | -$2.45 | 71% 17250-6966 (24216) |
NO NordhavenCapCTR<$100 | Overavg 27.7¢ | $13.56 | $10.78 | -$2.78 | 58% 1650-1178 (2828) |
Invested
$909.95
Value
$1.0K
PnL
+$119.55
Record
52%
16093-14633 (30726)
Both legs:
Invested
$575.24
Value
$533.39
PnL
-$41.86
Record
68%
30682-14740 (45422)
Invested
$339.67
Value
$304.11
PnL
-$35.55
Record
52%
914-830 (1744)
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$323.24
Value
$272.88
PnL
-$50.36
Record
55%
43011-35367 (78378)
Both legs:
HRTradingARB<$100Invested
$116.23
Value
$80.19
PnL
-$41.69
Record
58%
1251-901 (2152)
Both legs:
Invested
$20
Value
$17.55
PnL
-$2.45
Record
71%
17250-6966 (24216)
Invested
$13.56
Value
$10.78
PnL
-$2.78
Record
58%
1650-1178 (2828)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
69.0¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.