
Pumas de la UNAM vs. Tigres de la UANL: O/U 1.5
8 of 11 top Polymarket traders hold Over (73%) · Over at 100¢ · $9K held · ended Oct 25
⚡
Medium
Over
11
Over 73%
2 arb excluded
$9.4K
$-2.6K
94.6¢ → 99.5¢
+5% since entry · 8 traders
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540 | Overavg 95¢ | $7.1K | $3.7K | $-3.4K | 80% 1823-443 (2266) |
GO GoalLineGhostARB<$100 | Overavg 68.3¢ | $3.1K | $2.7K | -$379.13 | 52% 16093-14633 (30726) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 68.3¢ | $1.9K | $1.4K | -$507.99 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 44.6¢ | $1.2K | $1.3K | +$128.86 | |
![]() RN1ARB<$100 | Overavg 65¢ | $1.1K | $1.1K | -$50.59 | 55% 43011-35367 (78378) |
| └ Over leg | Overavg 65¢ | $743.21 | $577.62 | -$165.58 | |
| └ Under leg | Underavg 37.9¢ | $376.8 | $491.79 | +$114.99 | |
UP UpTheBluesCTR | Underavg 28.6¢ | $518.55 | $789.42 | +$270.87 | 68% 30682-14740 (45422) |
SH shiifooCTR | Underavg 5¢ | $50 | $505 | +$455 | 63% 2543-1468 (4011) |
0X 0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105 | Overavg 99¢ | $492.19 | $494.67 | +$2.49 | 95% 13822-790 (14612) |
![]() VeryLucky888<$100 | Overavg 76¢ | $43.51 | $43.51 | +$0 | 58% 31291-22609 (53900) |
NO NordhavenCap<$100 | Overavg 57.4¢ | $26.4 | $31.74 | +$5.34 | 58% 1650-1178 (2828) |
SN SnakeBallCTR<$100 | Underavg 28.7¢ | $26.67 | $28.83 | +$2.16 | 50% 8681-8611 (17292) |
![]() HRTrading<$100 | Overavg 40¢ | $12.99 | $21.44 | +$8.45 | 58% 1251-901 (2152) |
US User7429<$100 | Overavg 44¢ | $7.04 | $11.04 | +$4 | 57% 5808-4364 (10172) |
![]() 0xheavy888<$100 | Overavg 77¢ | $6.16 | $6.08 | +$0 | 55% 6288-5054 (11342) |
PA pauleta23<$100 | Overavg 61¢ | $1.94 | $1.92 | -$0.02 | 71% 17250-6966 (24216) |
Invested
$7,078.83
Value
$3.7K
PnL
$-3.4K
Record
80%
1823-443 (2266)
Invested
$3,106.36
Value
$2.7K
PnL
-$379.13
Record
52%
16093-14633 (30726)
Both legs:
RN1ARB<$100Invested
$1,120
Value
$1.1K
PnL
-$50.59
Record
55%
43011-35367 (78378)
Both legs:
Invested
$518.55
Value
$789.42
PnL
+$270.87
Record
68%
30682-14740 (45422)
Invested
$50
Value
$505
PnL
+$455
Record
63%
2543-1468 (4011)
Invested
$492.19
Value
$494.67
PnL
+$2.49
Record
95%
13822-790 (14612)
VeryLucky888<$100Invested
$43.51
Value
$43.51
PnL
+$0
Record
58%
31291-22609 (53900)
Invested
$26.4
Value
$31.74
PnL
+$5.34
Record
58%
1650-1178 (2828)
Invested
$26.67
Value
$28.83
PnL
+$2.16
Record
50%
8681-8611 (17292)
HRTrading<$100Invested
$12.99
Value
$21.44
PnL
+$8.45
Record
58%
1251-901 (2152)
Invested
$7.04
Value
$11.04
PnL
+$4
Record
57%
5808-4364 (10172)
0xheavy888<$100Invested
$6.16
Value
$6.08
PnL
+$0
Record
55%
6288-5054 (11342)
Invested
$1.94
Value
$1.92
PnL
-$0.02
Record
71%
17250-6966 (24216)
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EV Calculator
Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.
99.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 0.0¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.
A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xE337F5A28E9C530a676C959A1888Ba5368664ad6-1779639269540
Over — $3.7K
GoalLineGhost
ARBArbitrage — excluded

RN1
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpTheBlues
CTRUnder — $789.42
shiifoo
CTRUnder — $505
0xB595d09Ce5bBc4d39E3b3D04E80C402d2C8D5922-1769777706105
Over — $494.67

VeryLucky888
Over — $43.51
NordhavenCap
Over — $31.74
SnakeBall
CTRUnder — $28.83

HRTrading
Over — $21.44