FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5

4 of 8 top Polymarket traders hold Under (50%) · Under at 56¢ · $234K held · ends Oct 25

Over45¢Under55¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Under

Consensus Traders

Under 50%

Total Value

$234.0K

Combined PnL

$366.63

Smart Money Entry

54¢ → 55.5¢

+3% since entry · 4 traders

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Over45%

Under56%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Over4 traders

Total Value$119.1K

Total Shares253,472

Combined PnL+$2.6K

Under4 traders

Total Value$114.9K

Total Shares216,751

Combined PnL$-2.2K

Over — 50%Under — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
RJ RJW1CTR	Overavg 46¢	$115.8K	$118.4K	+$2.5K	39% 77-121 (198)
OM omnibus-076daa	Underavg 54¢	$115.6K	$113.4K	$-2.2K	59% 13706-9524 (23230)
SA Saber-greed	Underavg 55¢	$1.5K	$1.4K	-$53.57	59% 2242-1560 (3802)
VeryLucky888CTR	Overavg 45¢	$3.2K	$705.01	+$34.36	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
P1 P1kaso	Underavg 54.6¢	$2.5K	$60.77	+$14.04	63% 671-390 (1061)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Overavg 45¢	$29.7	$31.02	+$1.32	54% 13611-11436 (25047)
0X 0x5415e0326703e29A16f6B260Ce3C85692EF0F764-1781687530226CTR<$100	Overavg 47¢	$9.87	$9.66	-$0.1	37% 151-253 (404)
SN SnakeBall<$100	Underavg 55¢	$6.11	$6.17	+$0.06	50% 8681-8611 (17292)

RJW1CTR

Over

Invested

$115,848.21

Value

$118.4K

PnL

+$2.5K

Record

39%

77-121 (198)

omnibus-076daa

Under

Invested

$115,558.69

Value

$113.4K

PnL

$-2.2K

Record

59%

13706-9524 (23230)

Saber-greed

Under

Invested

$1,473.21

Value

$1.4K

PnL

-$53.57

Record

59%

2242-1560 (3802)

VeryLucky888CTR

Over

Invested

$3,183.75

Value

$705.01

PnL

+$34.36

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

P1kaso

Under

Invested

$2,495.24

Value

$60.77

PnL

+$14.04

Record

63%

671-390 (1061)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Over

Invested

$29.7

Value

$31.02

PnL

+$1.32

Record

54%

13611-11436 (25047)

0x5415e0326703e29A16f6B260Ce3C85692EF0F764-1781687530226CTR<$100

Over

Invested

$9.87

Value

$9.66

PnL

-$0.1

Record

37%

151-253 (404)

SnakeBall<$100

Under

Invested

$6.11

Value

$6.17

PnL

+$0.06

Record

50%

8681-8611 (17292)

Smart Money Signal

Under

4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that Under wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance57.7%

55.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.2¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$73.22

Max Loss

-$100.00

173.2

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.