Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-10-25?

2 of 13 top Polymarket traders hold No (15%) · No at 64¢ · $68K held · ends Oct 25

Yes37¢No63¢Ends Sun, Oct 25, 2026View on Polymarket

SIGNAL

⚡

Medium

Consensus Traders

No 15%

Total Value

$68.2K

Combined PnL

$636.3

Smart Money Entry

62.6¢ → 63.5¢

+1% since entry · 2 traders

Smart Money Signal

2 of 13 top traders (15%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Yes37%

No64%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

No2 traders

Total Value$56.1K

Total Shares88,486

Combined PnL+$762.47

Yes11 traders

Total Value$12.1K

Total Shares32,371

Combined PnL-$126.17

No — 15%Yes — 85%

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Mature

15h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 35/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

29% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYes 100% · 1

Diverging

sniperNo 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrYes 80% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedYes 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Yes 71% · 7

Diverging

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
HO hovistomaradona	Noavg 62.6¢	$51.7K	$52.4K	+$712.43	— 4-2 (6)
Reformedx	Noavg 61.7¢	$3.7K	$3.7K	+$50.04	52% 697-641 (1338)
CA CannaeCTR	Yesavg 37.1¢	$3.2K	$3.1K	-$52.95	53% 13525-11984 (25509)
UP UpTheBluesCTR	Yesavg 37¢	$2.5K	$2.6K	+$34.23	68% 30682-14740 (45422)
VeryLucky888CTR	Yesavg 37¢	$3.4K	$1.9K	-$1.75	58% 31291-22609 (53900)
HE hedgevaultmainnet1CTR	Yesavg 40¢	$1.6K	$1.5K	-$98.68	53% 1858-1622 (3480)
DO DolphinBallerCTR	Yesavg 38¢	$1.1K	$1.1K	-$15	45% 60-74 (134)
GO GoalLineGhostCTR	Yesavg 37.5¢	$1.0K	$1.0K	-$1.11	52% 16093-14633 (30726)
SN SnakeBallCTR	Yesavg 37¢	$607.54	$615.75	+$8.21	50% 8681-8611 (17292)
HRTradingCTR	Yesavg 37¢	$148.37	$150.38	+$2.01	58% 1251-901 (2152)
cassandra.torchlightCTR<$100	Yesavg 39¢	$50	$48.08	-$0.64	51% 231-224 (455)
LE LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100	Yesavg 38¢	$41.42	$40.88	-$0.55	54% 13611-11436 (25047)
0X 0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100	Yesavg 37¢	$4.81	$4.88	+$0.07	75% 2617-875 (3492)

hovistomaradona

Invested

$51,666.58

Value

$52.4K

PnL

+$712.43

Record

—

4-2 (6)

Reformedx

Invested

$3,699.82

Value

$3.7K

PnL

+$50.04

Record

52%

697-641 (1338)

CannaeCTR

Yes

Invested

$3,152.72

Value

$3.1K

PnL

-$52.95

Record

53%

13525-11984 (25509)

UpTheBluesCTR

Yes

Invested

$2,533.02

Value

$2.6K

PnL

+$34.23

Record

68%

30682-14740 (45422)

VeryLucky888CTR

Yes

Invested

$3,424.17

Value

$1.9K

PnL

-$1.75

Record

58%

31291-22609 (53900)

hedgevaultmainnet1CTR

Yes

Invested

$1,582.11

Value

$1.5K

PnL

-$98.68

Record

53%

1858-1622 (3480)

DolphinBallerCTR

Yes

Invested

$1,140

Value

$1.1K

PnL

-$15

Record

45%

60-74 (134)

GoalLineGhostCTR

Yes

Invested

$1,045.02

Value

$1.0K

PnL

-$1.11

Record

52%

16093-14633 (30726)

SnakeBallCTR

Yes

Invested

$607.54

Value

$615.75

PnL

+$8.21

Record

50%

8681-8611 (17292)

HRTradingCTR

Yes

Invested

$148.37

Value

$150.38

PnL

+$2.01

Record

58%

1251-901 (2152)

cassandra.torchlightCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$50

Value

$48.08

PnL

-$0.64

Record

51%

231-224 (455)

LeLynxMalynxCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$41.42

Value

$40.88

PnL

-$0.55

Record

54%

13611-11436 (25047)

0x8g68hBa8tyH1946Bhjb674g3fuyUIGYUi4uhflksCTR<$100

Yes

Invested

$4.81

Value

$4.88

PnL

+$0.07

Record

75%

2617-875 (3492)

Smart Money Signal

2 of 13 top traders (15%)11 hold an outcome priced under 50%3 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Signal Intelligence

Momentum

Flat

+0 pts consensus

Breadth

2 traders

Top 2 hold 100%

Freshness

Mature

15h old

Late Entry

Medium

Score 35/100

Flip Quality

Clean

0 consensus flips

Breadth vs concentrationCrowded

29% of non-arb traders are on No. Concentration is driven by the top two positions owning 100% of that side's value.

Cohort consensusHand-picked vs top 1000 · whales, sharps, snipers, contrarians

whaleYes 100% · 1

Diverging

sniperNo 100% · 1

Aligned

ctrYes 80% · 5

Diverging

Hand-pickedYes 100% · 1

Diverging

Top 1000Yes 71% · 7

Diverging

Chat

EV Calculator

Your estimated chance that No wins (%)

Consensus % is how many tracked traders hold a side, not a win probability.

Stake (USDC)

Break-even chance65.6%

63.5¢ price + 1.0¢ spread + 1.1¢ fee (Sports 5%). Win more often than this and the bet pays.

Expected Value—

Expected ROIenter your estimate

Max Profit

+$52.33

Max Loss

-$100.00

152.3

A market order pays the taker fee and crosses the spread (assumed 1.0¢); a limit order pays no fee but may not fill. The fee category is a guess from the title.