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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
joseph00677marvelousmarvinomnibus-076daaRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (10–9, n=19)55% (21–17, n=38)50% (15072–15093, n=30165)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL$5.6M$15K$3.0M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #1PM monthly #978PM monthly #56PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position56% (105 of 188 open)67% (152 of 228 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +49 pts n=20, ROI +50%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 20 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%92% of 11270 at avg 61¢, ROI +32%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢12% (won 0% of 2)0%8% (won 60% of 874)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢6% (won 0% of 1)35% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 87% of 2384)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢65% (won 73% of 11)65% (won 100% of 13)38% (won 95% of 4296)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up18% (won 67% of 3)0%33% (won 99% of 3716)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketjoseph00677marvelousmarvinomnibus-076daaRN1
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
opposite sides · consensus Matteo Berrettini
——Ugo Humbert $901Matteo Berrettini $14K
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Under $1.6KOver $1.5K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.6KYes $96
Cali: Julia Grabher vs Julia Riera
opposite sides · consensus Julia Riera
——Julia Riera $774Julia Grabher $474
M25 Valencia: Ignacio Parisca vs Eric Vanshelboim
opposite sides · consensus Eric Vanshelboim
——Eric Vanshelboim $653Ignacio Parisca $296
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $68No $677
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $5No $622
Bratislava 2: Lukas Pokorny vs Toby Samuel
opposite sides · consensus Toby Samuel
——Lukas Pokorny $100Toby Samuel $434
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $109Under $278
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $191No $111
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
——Yes $258No $2
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $147Yes $71
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
——Anna Siskova $134Marie Weckerle $55
FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $4Under $107
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus SK Slavia Praha
——SK Slavia Praha $46KSK Slavia Praha $331
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $15KUnder $226
Rolex Paris Masters: Alex Michelsen vs Carlos Alcaraz
same side · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
——Carlos Alcaraz $24Carlos Alcaraz $9.9K
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $8.7KUnder $15
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $786Over $7.1K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $100Under $6.8K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
same side · consensus Arthur Fils
——Tomas Machac $3.7KTomas Machac $1.2K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $104Under $4.0K
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
same side · consensus Yes
——Yes $1.0KYes $63
KV Kortrijk vs. Yellow-Red KV Mechelen: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
——Over $794Over $15
Will FC Porto vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
——Yes $364Yes $4
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
——No $106No $192
Lakers vs. Kings: O/U 234.5
same side · consensus Over
——Under $27Under $147
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
same side · consensus Oceane Dodin
——Eva Bennemann $42Eva Bennemann $99
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
——Under $61Under $13
Villa Maria: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Hernan Casanova
same side · consensus Juan Manuel La Serna
——Juan Manuel La Serna $36Juan Manuel La Serna $13