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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026primmRN1white-rabbit
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)53% (410–359, n=769)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$3.6M$14.9M$246K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #46PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #790
Sides with the consensus62% (13 of 21 open)75% (9 of 12 open)63% (25 of 40 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 605 at avg 51¢, ROI +12%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)5% (won 94% of 51)10% (won 57% of 2594)28% (won 5% of 167)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)41% (won 99% of 421)22% (won 94% of 5704)17% (won 32% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)49% (won 99% of 508)35% (won 99% of 9204)25% (won 86% of 153)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)5% (won 100% of 47)33% (won 100% of 8622)30% (won 97% of 180)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026primmRN1white-rabbit
Spread: Bears (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $48KBuccaneers $18KBears $42K—
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $2.6KBuccaneers $30KBears $15K—
Spread: Bears (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $3Buccaneers $4.4KBears $9.9K—
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $1.6KBears $3.1KBears $1.9K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $3Buccaneers $96Buccaneers $5.0K—
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $33KBuccaneers $31KBuccaneers $18K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $24KOver $22KOver $13K—
Spread: Bears (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $2.2KBears $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K—
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91K—Coco Gauff $58K—
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65K—Patrick Zahraj $5.8K—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner
same side · consensus T1
Bilibili Gaming $13K——Bilibili Gaming $30K
Spread: Bears (-9.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
—Buccaneers $3.0KBuccaneers $4.5K—
Brisbane 3: Sam Ryan Ziegann vs Chase Ferguson
same side · consensus Sam Ryan Ziegann
Sam Ryan Ziegann $1.6K—Sam Ryan Ziegann $5.6K—
Matsuyama: Luca Staeheli vs Takuya Kumasaka
same side · consensus Takuya Kumasaka
Takuya Kumasaka $1.5K—Takuya Kumasaka $1.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.3K—Over $360—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 4 Winner
same side · consensus T1
T1 $1.6K——T1 $4