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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1PerpsKing
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)63% (1096–631, n=1727)43% (3–4, n=7)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$4.6M-$238K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #110was PM monthly #928
Sides with the consensus65% (47 of 72 open)68% (100 of 147 open)72% (71 of 98 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%100% of 3 at avg 65¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)0%
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)100% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

4 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpndb1PerpsKing
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $84KCardinals $121——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $6.0K——
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
Nets $22KMavericks $402——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $19KOver $390——
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
Lakers $8.2KPistons $329——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $4.8KHeat $298——
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $3.1KT1 $4——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $229——
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $943Mavericks $499——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Lakers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
Lakers $245Lakers $5.7K——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.1KUnder $171——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $115Under $297——