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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677soared
Record (consensus markets)44% (11385–14473, n=25858)52% (7690–6979, n=14669)43% (10–13, n=23)100% (2–0, n=2)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$3.3M$65K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #9PM monthly #8PM monthly #182
Sides with the consensus60% (56 of 94 open)74% (144 of 195 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 2 at avg 69¢, ROI +30%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)12% (won 0% of 2)0%
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)6% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)65% (won 73% of 11)100% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)18% (won 67% of 3)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

10 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026Flaznorpjoseph00677soared
Rams vs. Commanders
opposite sides · consensus Rams
Rams $61KCommanders $320——
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
Pistons $32KLakers $863——
Cowboys vs. Colts
opposite sides · consensus Cowboys
Cowboys $21KColts $63——
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
Bulls $11K76ers $823——
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $8.0KUnder $294——
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
Kings $5.2KHeat $298——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $345Over $2.7K——
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $151Yes $2.7K——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3KOver $80——
Orleans: Calvin Hemery vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand
opposite sides · consensus Yanis Ghazouani Durand
Yanis Ghazouani Durand $4Calvin Hemery $973——
Broncos vs. Panthers
same side · consensus Broncos
Broncos $54KBroncos $1.4K——
WTA Finals, Group A: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova
same side · consensus Linda Noskova
Linda Noskova $31KLinda Noskova $1.8K——
Costa do Sauipe: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
same side · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $20KCamilo Ugo Carabelli $1.7K——
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——
Racing Club de Lens vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $7.2KOver $1.3K——
Nets vs. Mavericks: O/U 222.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.5KOver $107——
Panthers vs. Bruins
same side · consensus Bruins
Panthers $560Panthers $30——
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $118Under $297——
Knoxville: Mitchell Krueger vs Samir Banerjee
same side · consensus Mitchell Krueger
Mitchell Krueger $274Mitchell Krueger $105——
Spread: St. Thomas (MN) Tommies (-8.5)
same side · consensus Green Bay Phoenix
Green Bay Phoenix $249Green Bay Phoenix $59——