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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
ferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMatheobongprimm
Record (consensus markets)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)56% (5–4, n=9)50% (1248–1261, n=2509)
Consensus PnL-$8.8M$4.1M$102K$3.6M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #87PM monthly #16PM monthly #276PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus55% (16 of 29 open)73% (77 of 106 open)no open consensus position92% (11 of 12 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%83% of 6 at avg 50¢, ROI +36%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)0%5% (won 94% of 51)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)50% (won 100% of 3)41% (won 99% of 421)
Entries 50–70¢40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)50% (won 67% of 3)49% (won 99% of 508)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)0%5% (won 100% of 47)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketferrariChampions2026FlaznorpMatheobongprimm
Penguins vs. Ducks
opposite sides · consensus Ducks
Ducks $34KPenguins $14——
Spread: Pelicans (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pelicans
Pelicans $23KClippers $794——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.7K——Over $16K
Spread: Bears (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
Buccaneers $1.3K——Bears $9.7K
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Kings $4.5KHeat $2.2K——
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $6.1K——Buccaneers $278
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $148Yes $2.7K——
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $295——Buccaneers $91
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $17K——
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.9K——
Spread: Bears (-13.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Buccaneers $26K——Buccaneers $8.1K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
Bilibili Gaming $20KBilibili Gaming $273——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 48.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $6.8K——Over $13K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.2KUnder $13K——