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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Forecastication2HomeRunHazardjuice-fruit
Record (consensus markets)56% (5–4, n=9)43% (54–71, n=125)55% (216–179, n=395)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$421K-$46K$290K$152K
Tracked asPM monthly #43was PM monthly #893PM monthly #7PM monthly #31
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)60% (32 of 53 open)64% (108 of 168 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 50¢, ROI +54%—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 1 at avg 41¢, ROI +59%
Entries under 30¢20% (won 100% of 1)—1% (won 100% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)—32% (won 100% of 31)100% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 3)—57% (won 100% of 55)0%
Entries 70¢ and up0%—10% (won 100% of 10)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Forecastication2HomeRunHazardjuice-fruit
Spread: Lakers (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
—Bucks $1.9KLakers $20K—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $7Thunder $4.3K—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $89Thunder $3.6K—
Buffalo vs. Ball State
opposite sides · consensus Buffalo
—Buffalo $370Ball State $1.1K—
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $14Bucks $984—
Lindenwood Lions vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 151.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $189Under $366—
Spread: Lakers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $38Bucks $493—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $179Under $4—
Lakers vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6Under $40K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 230.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $6.1KOver $12K—
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
same side · consensus Jazz
—Magic $20Magic $12K—
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $4.1KOver $7.2K—
Thunder vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 224.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $5Over $7.0K—
Spread: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (-4.5)
same side · consensus Abilene Christian Wildcats
—Abilene Christian Wildcats $2Abilene Christian Wildcats $984—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 157.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $21Under $689—
Spread: Furman Paladins (-12.5)
same side · consensus Holy Cross Crusaders
—Furman Paladins $2Furman Paladins $452—
Jackson State Tigers vs. Southern Miss Golden Eagles
same side · consensus Jackson State Tigers
—Jackson State Tigers $399Jackson State Tigers $7—
Valparaiso Beacons vs. South Dakota State Jackrabbits: O/U 142.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $18Under $30—
Spurs vs. Bulls: O/U 241.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $6Under $12—
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 156.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $3Under $15—
Spread: Houston Cougars (-34.5)
same side · consensus Jacksonville State Gamecocks
—Jacksonville State Gamecocks $4Jacksonville State Gamecocks $3—