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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
fantasy7788Flaznorpiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)59% (16–11, n=27)71% (2093–854, n=2947)no settled market48% (503–542, n=1045)
Consensus PnL$670K$387K—$528K
Tracked asPM monthly #36PM monthly #13PM monthly #714PM monthly #19
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position52% (165 of 319 open)no open consensus position57% (29 of 51 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer ±0 pts, n=381——
Settled positions, side won100% of 14 at avg 48¢, ROI +54%44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%—100% of 329 at avg 51¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 6% of 362)—6% (won 100% of 19)
Entries 30–50¢50% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 43% of 192)—36% (won 100% of 120)
Entries 50–70¢36% (won 100% of 5)11% (won 64% of 103)—50% (won 100% of 166)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 95% of 239)—7% (won 100% of 24)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketfantasy7788Flaznorpiammillionairekeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Spread: Norway (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Norway
—Wales $3.3K—Norway $15K
Georgia vs. Hungary: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $2.3K—Under $15K
Kosovo vs. Israel: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.0K—Under $7.5K
Austria vs. Republic of Ireland: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.7K—Under $3.9K
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Denmark
—Portugal $1.5K—Denmark $4.0K
Florida vs. Kentucky
opposite sides · consensus Kentucky
—Florida $477—Kentucky $924
Duke vs. Miami (FL)
opposite sides · consensus Miami (FL)
—Duke $356—Miami (FL) $144
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus 9INE
—WRAITH PCIFIC $7—9INE $147
Abu Dhabi T10 League: Arabian Aces vs Emirates Eagles
opposite sides · consensus Emirates Eagles
—Arabian Aces $53—Emirates Eagles $25
Orleans: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $6.1K—Nishesh Basavareddy $17K
Kansas vs. West Virginia
same side · consensus West Virginia
—Kansas $3—Kansas $21K
Portugal vs. Denmark: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $453—Under $295
Nepal Premier League: Biratnagar Kings vs Lumbini Lions
same side · consensus Lumbini Lions
—Lumbini Lions $123—Lumbini Lions $53
Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Playoffs
same side · consensus Iberian Soul
—FORZE Reload $3—FORZE Reload $18