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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| bot-rapin | Flaznorp | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (6–0, n=6) | 52% (6603–6153, n=12756) | 63% (1014–591, n=1605) |
| Consensus PnL | $40K | $3.7M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #496 | PM monthly #13 | PM monthly #98 |
| Sides with the consensus | 72% (21 of 29 open) | 70% (177 of 252 open) | 74% (62 of 84 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −28 pts, n=15 | NFL −8 pts, n=147 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 11 at avg 98¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 403) | 13% (won 14% of 187) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 16% (won 38% of 228) | 19% (won 39% of 269) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 15% (won 62% of 214) | 23% (won 57% of 328) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 11) | 40% (won 94% of 553) | 44% (won 94% of 622) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.