← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bot-rapin | Flaznorp | ndb1 | primm | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (3–0, n=3) | 53% (5890–5273, n=11163) | 65% (876–462, n=1338) | 50% (1075–1083, n=2158) |
| Consensus PnL | $20K | $3.3M | $4.2M | $3.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #536 | PM monthly #22 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #53 |
| Sides with the consensus | 42% (5 of 12 open) | 68% (126 of 185 open) | 79% (19 of 24 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 3 at avg 100¢, ROI 0% | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 99% of 955 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 5% (won 94% of 50) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 41% (won 99% of 392) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 49% (won 99% of 469) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 3) | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 5% (won 100% of 44) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.