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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| bot-rapin | Flaznorp | joseph00677 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 100% (5–0, n=5) | 52% (6403–5995, n=12398) | 45% (10–12, n=22) | 63% (993–578, n=1571) |
| Consensus PnL | $40K | $3.6M | $5.3M | $4.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #499 | PM monthly #11 | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #97 |
| Sides with the consensus | 77% (23 of 30 open) | 75% (213 of 285 open) | no open consensus position | 73% (54 of 74 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=144 |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 10 at avg 98¢, ROI +9% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 15% of 186) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 0% | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 19% (won 39% of 267) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 0% | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 23% (won 58% of 326) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 100% (won 100% of 10) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 44% (won 94% of 619) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.