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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
beachboy4FlaznorpnehcnehcRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (5927–5304, n=11231)61% (4024–2617, n=6641)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)
Consensus PnL—$3.3M-$859K$14.8M
Tracked as—PM monthly #21PM monthly #633PM monthly #24 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position64% (253 of 397 open)80% (4 of 5 open)67% (152 of 228 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Politics −7 pts, n=125—
Settled positions, side won—56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%63% of 8890 at avg 64¢, ROI 0%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—29% (won 11% of 423)1% (won 20% of 92)10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢—16% (won 40% of 243)25% (won 44% of 2260)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢—17% (won 62% of 255)40% (won 55% of 3534)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up—38% (won 94% of 561)34% (won 87% of 3004)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

68 on the same side, 35 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Marketbeachboy4FlaznorpnehcnehcRN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Over $1.5K
Cali: Laura Samson vs Carole Monnet
opposite sides · consensus Laura Samson
—Laura Samson $596—Carole Monnet $9.0K
RB Leipzig vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $484—Under $7.1K
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
—Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K—Olympiakós SFP $32
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
—Alice Tubello $3.1K—Marina Bassols Ribera $1.9K
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $2.0K—Yes $2.9K
Rolex Paris Masters: Arthur Fils vs Tomas Machac
opposite sides · consensus Arthur Fils
—Arthur Fils $3.4K—Tomas Machac $1.2K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $3.8K—Over $14
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $317—No $2.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Over $35
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.0K—Yes $1.3K
Costa do Sauipe: Gonzalo Bueno vs Eduardo Ribeiro
opposite sides · consensus Gonzalo Bueno
—Gonzalo Bueno $1.4K—Eduardo Ribeiro $645
Racing Club de Lens vs. Como 1907: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $1.6K—Under $22
Exact Score: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund 2 - 2 Real Betis Balompié?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $78—No $1.4K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: SK Slavia Praha O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $370—Under $1.0K
Wrexham AFC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $215—Over $1.2K
Cali: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Solana Sierra
opposite sides · consensus Solana Sierra
—Leyre Romero Gormaz $10—Solana Sierra $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.1K—Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $486—No $529
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $213—No $677
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
—Wizards $237—Hawks $430
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
—Cavaliers $325—Thunder $273
W75 Petange: Oceane Dodin vs Eva Bennemann
opposite sides · consensus Oceane Dodin
—Oceane Dodin $281—Eva Bennemann $99
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
—Anna Siskova $274—Marie Weckerle $55
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $202—Grizzlies $119
Exact Score: Wrexham AFC 0 - 1 Middlesbrough FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $236—No $27
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Suns $125—Trail Blazers $99
PSV vs. Club Brugge KV: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $214—Over $5
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $116—Over $86
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $21—No $132
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $50—Yes $63
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 3 Arsenal FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $2—No $111
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-11-04?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $47—No $28
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $26—No $15
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
—No $101K—No $4.3K
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $78K—Yes $20K
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
—No $23K—No $907
Rolex Paris Masters: Matteo Berrettini vs Ugo Humbert
same side · consensus Matteo Berrettini
—Matteo Berrettini $7.9K—Matteo Berrettini $14K
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
—Olympiakós SFP $21K—Olympiakós SFP $109
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
—No $15K—No $5.3K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $12K—Under $4.0K
Oxford United FC vs. Reading FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $8.4K—Over $7.1K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $9.8K—Under $5.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.2K—Under $6.8K
Bratislava 2: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Mika Brunold
same side · consensus Nishesh Basavareddy
—Nishesh Basavareddy $399—Nishesh Basavareddy $7.6K
SK Slavia Praha vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7.6K—Under $13
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.5K—Under $2.4K
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.8K—Under $3.0K
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $5.7K—No $16