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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
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| Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (233–260, n=493) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | -$316K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 58% (25 of 43 open) | 73% (33 of 45 open) | 60% (130 of 216 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
13 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $90K | — | Central Michigan $4.9K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan $52K | — | Central Michigan $587 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $37K | — | Central Michigan $18 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $30K | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $24K | — | Over $183 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $5.9K | — | Over $71 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.6K | — | Over $90 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | Nets $48 | — | Hornets $129 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | Eastern Michigan $10 | — | Central Michigan $33 |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) same side · consensus Ball State | UMass $105K | — | UMass $358 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Pelicans $31K | — | Pelicans $126 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Hawks | Hawks $24K | — | Hawks $678 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | 76ers $15K | — | 76ers $240 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Pelicans $15K | — | Pelicans $121 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | Kings $13K | — | Kings $253 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | Spurs $13K | — | Spurs $124 |
| Spread: UMass (-3.5) same side · consensus Ball State | Ball State $11K | — | Ball State $376 |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) same side · consensus Knicks | Knicks $5.4K | — | Knicks $349 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $2.4K | — | Sacramento State $631 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $1.0K | — | Under $371 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $4 | — | Over $131 |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | CA Mineiro $2 | — | CA Mineiro $34 |