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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 47% (237–268, n=505) | 65% (892–472, n=1364) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | -$191K | $4.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #90 | PM monthly #17 | PM monthly #97 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 66% (19 of 29 open) | 58% (35 of 60 open) | 78% (39 of 50 open) | 58% (143 of 247 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
24 on the same side, 13 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $902 | Eastern Michigan $57K | — | Central Michigan $12K |
| Spread: UMass (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | UMass $389 | Ball State $10K | — | UMass $2.4K |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | Kings $9.7K | Kings $22 | — | Lakers $3 |
| Spread: Celtics (-12.5) opposite sides · consensus Celtics | Celtics $1.3K | Celtics $5.6K | — | Bucks $765 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $82 | Over $5.1K | — | Under $830 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-4.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $6.6K | Raptors $315 | — | Raptors $275 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | Under $283 | Under $1.2K | — | Under $428 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets opposite sides · consensus Nuggets | Nuggets $73K | Raptors $1.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $41K | — | Grizzlies $123 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $11K | — | Central Michigan $596 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $9.9K | — | Central Michigan $815 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $4.9K | — | Over $240 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $507 | — | Over $143 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Nets $44 | — | Hornets $125 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $7 | — | Central Michigan $50 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons same side · consensus Pistons | 76ers $90K | 76ers $132K | — | — |
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $108K | Thunder $113K | — | — |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | UMass $112K | — | UMass $1.0K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State same side · consensus Toledo | Sacramento State $11K | Sacramento State $24K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Pelicans $30K | — | Pelicans $125 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-3.5) same side · consensus Central Michigan | Central Michigan $26K | — | — | Central Michigan $1.1K |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $4.4K | Thunder $21K | — | — |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $24K | — | 76ers $370 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Pelicans $18K | — | Pelicans $135 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $14K | — | Spurs $184 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5) same side · consensus Pacers | Pacers $2.0K | Pacers $9.3K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $10K | — | Knicks $675 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $8.0K | — | Timberwolves $130 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) same side · consensus Toledo | — | Sacramento State $3.5K | — | Sacramento State $800 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) same side · consensus Raptors | — | Raptors $4.0K | — | Raptors $130 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5) same side · consensus Grizzlies | Pacers $6 | Pacers $3.8K | — | — |
| Spread: Pelicans (-6.5) same side · consensus Pelicans | — | Pelicans $2.2K | — | Pelicans $280 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 226.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $793 | — | Under $255 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets same side · consensus Rockets | Timberwolves $237 | Timberwolves $638 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-10.5) same side · consensus Celtics | — | Celtics $22 | — | Celtics $485 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4 | — | Over $130 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $54 | — | — | Over $27 |