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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (270–304, n=574) | 63% (989–573, n=1562) | 47% (14165–15679, n=29844) | 50% (20844–20530, n=41374) |
| Consensus PnL | -$145K | $3.2M | $14.8M | $3.2M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #91 | PM monthly #31 + pinned | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 61% (19 of 31 open) | 72% (54 of 75 open) | 56% (43 of 77 open) | 70% (31 of 44 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% | 100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) | 7% (won 99% of 2623) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) | 21% (won 100% of 7839) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) | 22% (won 100% of 8452) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) | 51% (won 100% of 19323) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
10 on the same side, 22 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | UpTheBlues |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.6K | Under $21K |
| Spread: Warriors (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $14K | — | Warriors $520 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $360 | Under $7.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $1.9K | No $5.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $1.5K | Under $5.2K |
| Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 46.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $990 | — | Under $4.7K | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.3K | Under $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $7 | No $2.7K |
| Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) opposite sides · consensus Ravens | Ravens $13 | — | Jaguars $2.0K | — |
| Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K | Athletic Club $218 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 71.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $924 | — | Over $890 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $36 | Under $1.5K |
| Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | No $1.1K | Yes $69 |
| Spread: Magic (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Suns | Magic $13 | — | Suns $860 | — |
| Spread: UTSA (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Florida Atlantic | UTSA $26 | — | Florida Atlantic $775 | — |
| Boluspor leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $192 | No $249 |
| Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club | — | — | Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1 | Athletic Club $354 |
| UTSA vs. Florida Atlantic: O/U 73.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $29 | — | Over $244 | — |
| Athletic Club leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | — | Yes $61 | No $172 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Heat $122 | — | Warriors $110 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Over $29 | Under $12 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | — | Under $20 | Over $5 |
| Spread: UTSA (-6.5) same side · consensus UTSA | UTSA $13K | — | UTSA $652 | — |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | — | No $2.5K | No $3.1K |
| Spread: James Madison (-13.5) same side · consensus James Madison | Southern Miss $4.9K | — | Southern Miss $56 | — |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5 same side · consensus Over | — | — | Under $1.1K | Under $945 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $1.3K | Under $64 |
| Spread: James Madison (-14.5) same side · consensus Southern Miss | Southern Miss $327 | — | Southern Miss $616 | — |
| Heat vs. Warriors: O/U 236.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $693 | — | Under $234 | — |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | — | Under $42 | Under $796 |
| Spread: Jaguars (-8.5) same side · consensus Ravens | Ravens $9 | — | Ravens $636 | — |
| James Madison vs. Southern Miss same side · consensus James Madison | Southern Miss $85 | — | Southern Miss $498 | — |