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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 47% (233–260, n=493) | 65% (889–469, n=1358) | 47% (13371–14881, n=28252) |
| Consensus PnL | $5.6M | -$316K | $4.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #96 | PM monthly #30 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 63% (27 of 43 open) | 74% (34 of 46 open) | 62% (136 of 218 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | joseph00677 | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Thunder | — | Thunder $185K | — | Cavaliers $523 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | Eastern Michigan $62K | — | Central Michigan $851 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | — | Pacers $34K | — | Grizzlies $118 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $8.5K | — | Under $855 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $6.0K | — | Over $61 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 234.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $206 | — | Over $90 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Hornets | — | Nets $33 | — | Hornets $128 |
| Spread: Lakers (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Kings | — | Kings $22 | — | Lakers $3 |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) same side · consensus Ball State | — | UMass $120K | — | UMass $1.1K |
| Spread: Pelicans (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Pelicans $33K | — | Pelicans $136 |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) same side · consensus Hawks | — | Hawks $32K | — | Hawks $957 |
| Spread: Pistons (-2.5) same side · consensus 76ers | — | 76ers $28K | — | 76ers $240 |
| Spread: Pelicans (-5.5) same side · consensus Jazz | — | Pelicans $18K | — | Pelicans $130 |
| Spread: Spurs (-12.5) same side · consensus Spurs | — | Spurs $14K | — | Spurs $124 |
| Spread: Lakers (-12.5) same side · consensus Kings | — | Kings $13K | — | Kings $253 |
| Spread: Rockets (-7.5) same side · consensus Timberwolves | — | Timberwolves $7.5K | — | Timberwolves $155 |
| Spread: Knicks (-12.5) same side · consensus Knicks | — | Knicks $5.5K | — | Knicks $356 |
| Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Under $1.3K | — | Under $382 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 same side · consensus Over | — | Over $4 | — | Over $131 |
| Spread: Botafogo FR (-1.5) same side · consensus CA Mineiro | — | CA Mineiro $2 | — | CA Mineiro $70 |