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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 52% (6524–6030, n=12554) | 47% (266–304, n=570) | 63% (990–573, n=1563) | 48% (14139–15621, n=29760) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | -$162K | $3.2M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #21 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #106 | PM monthly #28 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 74% (233 of 314 open) | 60% (12 of 20 open) | 74% (82 of 111 open) | 60% (97 of 163 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | NFL −9 pts, n=139 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 215 at avg 52¢, ROI +51% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% (won 100% of 1) | 13% (won 15% of 168) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 47% (won 100% of 100) | 20% (won 39% of 256) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 47% (won 100% of 101) | 24% (won 58% of 314) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 6% (won 100% of 13) | 43% (won 93% of 550) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
65 on the same side, 43 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | Multicoloured-Serf | ndb1 | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bayer 04 Leverkusen (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Olympique de Marseille | Olympique de Marseille $6.7K | Olympique de Marseille $26K | — | Bayer 04 Leverkusen $7 |
| Spread: Warriors (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | Heat $417 | Heat $118 | — | Warriors $119 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $29K | — | — | No $11K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.4K | — | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $4.7K | — | — | Under $549 |
| Spread: Warriors (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Warriors | Warriors $185 | Heat $4.3K | — | — |
| Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $4.0K | — | — | Yes $176 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $586 | — | — | Over $3.3K |
| Will Celtic FC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $1.5K | — | — | No $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $3.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| SK Puntigamer Sturm Graz vs. NK Celje: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.7K | — | — | Under $18 |
| SC União Torreense vs. Ararat-Armenia FA: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $1.4K | — | — | Under $1.2K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $36 |
| Will AZ win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $2.0K | — | — | No $454 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $2.0K | — | — | No $353 |
| Spread: FC Lugano (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus FC Lugano | FC Lugano $2.1K | — | — | FK Kauno Žalgiris $2 |
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | — | Over $520 |
| Will FC Twente vs. Páfos FC end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.9K | — | — | Yes $12 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | No $746 | — | — | Yes $1.1K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $476 | — | — | Under $1.3K |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 2 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | — | Yes $44 |
| Exact Score: AZ 3 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.4K | — | — | Yes $120 |
| Juventus FC leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | No $853 | — | — | Yes $677 |
| FC København vs. SK Iberia 1999: O/U 6.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.5K | — | — | Over $6 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 3 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.5K | — | — | Yes $10 |
| K. Sint-Truidense VV vs. SK Brann: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $645 | — | — | Over $675 |
| Will PFK CSKA Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.3K | — | — | Yes $1 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $466 | — | — | No $529 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 3 - 1 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $673 | — | — | Yes $174 |
| Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $600 | — | — | No $27 |
| M25 Guadalajara: Jesse Flores vs Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez opposite sides · consensus Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez $551 | — | — | Jesse Flores $16 |
| Exact Score: Sport Lisboa e Benfica 2 - 0 KKS Lech Poznań? opposite sides · consensus No | No $81 | — | — | Yes $377 |
| FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $358 | — | — | Over $67 |
| Spread: Warriors (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Heat | — | Heat $196 | — | Warriors $148 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | Julio Cesar Porras $60 | — | — | Ivan Gakhov $238 |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $189 | — | — | Over $25 |
| W50 Huamantla: Victoria Rodriguez vs Maria Sholokhova opposite sides · consensus Maria Sholokhova | Maria Sholokhova $4 | — | — | Victoria Rodriguez $173 |
| Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | No $145 | Yes $14 | — | — |
| W75 Petange: Isis Louise Van den Broek vs Anna Siskova opposite sides · consensus Isis Louise Van den Broek | Anna Siskova $60 | — | — | Isis Louise Van den Broek $72 |
| Panathinaikós AO vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $31 | — | — | Under $33 |
| Exact Score: AZ 0 - 2 Juventus FC? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $7 | — | — | No $42 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $7 | — | — | Over $29 |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw? same side · consensus No | No $49K | — | — | No $27K |
| Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $47K | — | — | No $20K |
| Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud same side · consensus Casper Ruud | Casper Ruud $43K | — | — | Casper Ruud $17K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $41K | — | — | Yes $18K |
| Will Juventus FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | No $21K | — | — | No $11K |
| Celtic FC vs. Beşiktaş JK: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Under $18K |
| AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 2.5 same side · consensus Over | Over $10K | — | — | Over $12K |