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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
HomeRunHazardhortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)52% (590–548, n=1138)67% (6–3, n=9)48% (670–739, n=1409)
Consensus PnL$400K$526$885K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #883PM monthly #14
Sides with the consensus65% (48 of 74 open)44% (4 of 9 open)54% (21 of 39 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won100% of 317 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%—100% of 467 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%
Entries under 30¢2% (won 100% of 6)—5% (won 100% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢32% (won 100% of 100)—34% (won 100% of 159)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 189)—52% (won 100% of 243)
Entries 70¢ and up7% (won 100% of 22)—9% (won 100% of 42)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 5 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketHomeRunHazardhortikkkkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Vikings vs. Packers
opposite sides · consensus Packers
Vikings $6.8K—Packers $15K
Spread: Spurs (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Spurs $185—Jazz $4.7K
Hornets vs. Clippers: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.8K—Under $1.8K
Spread: Clippers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Hornets $252—Clippers $2.2K
Spread: 76ers (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
76ers $18—Pacers $121
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $20K—Seahawks $19K
Spread: Lions (-2.5)
same side · consensus Lions
Patriots $6.1K—Patriots $19K
Spread: Packers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $7.9K—Vikings $14K
Spread: Texans (-3.5)
same side · consensus Browns
Browns $2.4K—Browns $19K
Rams vs. Cardinals
same side · consensus Rams
Rams $5.4K—Rams $4.9K
Spread: 49ers (-4.5)
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $2.3K—Cowboys $3.3K
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)
same side · consensus Mavericks
Mavericks $2.4K—Mavericks $533