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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmUpTheBluesUser1244322
Record (consensus markets)52% (6543–6108, n=12651)50% (1144–1155, n=2299)50% (20622–20404, n=41026)79% (399–104, n=503)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$3.6M$3.1M-$495K
Tracked asPM monthly #13PM monthly #47PM monthly #8was PM monthly #844
Sides with the consensus70% (184 of 263 open)75% (3 of 4 open)70% (31 of 44 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 1027 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%91% of 455 at avg 69¢, ROI +18%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)5% (won 94% of 51)7% (won 99% of 2699)7% (won 61% of 31)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)41% (won 99% of 421)20% (won 100% of 7974)15% (won 85% of 67)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)49% (won 99% of 508)22% (won 100% of 8588)27% (won 88% of 125)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)5% (won 100% of 47)52% (won 100% of 20470)51% (won 98% of 232)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

16 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmUpTheBluesUser1244322
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K—Yes $757—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596—Yes $154—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Over $5—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $64—
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Athletic Club $226—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $137—Yes $2—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $21K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $3.1K—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $489—No $15K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
No $4.5K—No $5.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $3.1K—No $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.6K—No $1.1K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $613—Under $1.4K—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.0K—Yes $153—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $960—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $319—Under $718—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $1.0K—Over $7—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $801—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $361—Under $595—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 0 Boluspor?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $112—Yes $52—
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $129—CD Pamplona $6—