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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpprimmRdogTestRN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)50% (1082–1097, n=2179)96% (44–2, n=46)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$3.6M$20K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #51PM monthly #887PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensus66% (226 of 343 open)67% (26 of 39 open)94% (15 of 16 open)58% (143 of 247 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%100% of 40 at avg 74¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)5% (won 94% of 51)0%10% (won 57% of 2538)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)41% (won 99% of 405)5% (won 100% of 2)22% (won 94% of 5565)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)49% (won 99% of 485)33% (won 100% of 13)36% (won 99% of 9017)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)5% (won 100% of 46)63% (won 100% of 25)33% (won 100% of 8250)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

41 on the same side, 62 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpprimmRdogTestRN1
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $60Eastern Michigan $417—Central Michigan $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.5K
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Central Michigan $4.2K—Eastern Michigan $2.0K
Spread: Toledo (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $4.2K—Sacramento State $765
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Bucks $4.1K——Celtics $485
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K——Over $2.4K
Spread: UMass (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $2.5K—UMass $1.0K
Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $3.0K—Under $194
Spread: Toledo (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Sacramento State $80—Toledo $3.1K
Spread: Toledo (-27.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $2.2K—Sacramento State $800
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $797—Over $2.1K
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.6K——Under $230
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301——No $2.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $35
Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.5K—Under $3
Spread: Celtics (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bucks
Bucks $2.2K——Celtics $3
Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $1.4K—Central Michigan $815
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $2.1K——Hornets $40
Spread: Celtics (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.3K——Bucks $765
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274——Under $1.7K
Spread: Toledo (-17.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $298—Sacramento State $1.4K
Spread: Celtics (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
Celtics $1.7K——Bucks $57
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $799——Under $830
Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
—Eastern Michigan $984—Central Michigan $596
Spread: UMass (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $900—UMass $671
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K——Over $23
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.4K——Knicks $158
Spread: Toledo (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Toledo
—Toledo $1.0K—Sacramento State $463
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 223.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K——Over $57
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sabres
Senators $56——Sabres $1.3K
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.1K——Over $138
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K——Yes $7
Bucks vs. Celtics: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.0K——Over $12
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $988——Bulls $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486——No $529
Spread: UMass (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Ball State
—Ball State $480—UMass $457
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hornets
Nets $749——Hornets $125
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $680——Under $87
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $752——Under $8
Spread: Toledo (-30.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State
—Toledo $243—Sacramento State $462
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $457——Pacers $180
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $102——Over $535
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $555——Bulls $16
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $464——Under $106
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $330——Over $235
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $405——Grizzlies $123
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $414——Over $46
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Thunder
Cavaliers $179——Thunder $270
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $429——Over $6
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $319——Pistons $49