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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1youcanbuythisbot
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)65% (888–469, n=1357)47% (13363–14875, n=28238)85% (5221–893, n=6114)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.2M$14.8M$25K
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #146PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #706
Sides with the consensus63% (250 of 394 open)74% (35 of 47 open)63% (129 of 206 open)52% (12 of 23 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Soccer +32 pts n=517, ROI +29%
  • Tennis +25 pts n=45, ROI +19%
  • MLB +30 pts n=15, ROI +28%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 608 at avg 68¢, ROI +28%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)9% (won 100% of 53)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)16% (won 100% of 96)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)23% (won 99% of 137)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)53% (won 100% of 322)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

61 on the same side, 34 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1youcanbuythisbot
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5KUnder $833
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4KUnder $86
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $317—No $2.5KYes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35Under $20
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7No $47
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529Yes $18
Will AEK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
No $115KNo $234KNo $6.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1KUnder $5
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $720—Under $20Under $24
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
Yes $10—Yes $162Yes $7
Spread: Olympiakós SFP (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Stade Rennais FC 1901
Stade Rennais FC 1901 $5.9K—Olympiakós SFP $32—
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 2 - 1 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $897—No $4.0K—
Will SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905 end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.8K—Yes $136—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.8K—Over $14—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $3.1KNo $234
Will SK Artis Brno win on 2026-10-17?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.9K—Yes $3—
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.0K—Yes $1.3K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $14—Over $1.9K—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Marina Bassols Ribera
opposite sides · consensus Alice Tubello
Alice Tubello $1.8K—Marina Bassols Ribera $60—
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.7K——Yes $33
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 3 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $121—No $1.4K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $949—No $4—
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $889—Under $10—
Will FK Zeleznicar Pancevo win on 2026-11-02?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $213—No $677—
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hawks
Wizards $237—Hawks $430—
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 1 - 2 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $594—No $21—
Cali: Despina Papamichail vs Renata Zarazua
opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua
Renata Zarazua $535—Despina Papamichail $2—
Exact Score: Fenerbahçe SK 3 - 2 Liverpool FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $35—No $474—
Spread: Thunder (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
Cavaliers $325—Thunder $136—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420——Under $13
SK Artis Brno vs. Bohemians Praha 1905: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $424—Under $1—
W75 Petange: Marie Weckerle vs Anna Siskova
opposite sides · consensus Anna Siskova
Anna Siskova $274—Marie Weckerle $55—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Pacers $202—Grizzlies $119—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $125—Trail Blazers $99—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $116—Over $86—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $21—No $132—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 0 - 0 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $50—Yes $63—
Exact Score: Stade Rennais FC 1901 3 - 1 Olympiakós SFP?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $26—No $15—
Will AEK vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $143K—No $6.3K—
Exact Score: SK Slavia Praha 0 - 1 Arsenal FC?
same side · consensus No
No $101K—No $4.4K—
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $71K—Yes $20K—
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus No
Yes $25K—Yes $3.2K—
Spread: Stade Rennais FC 1901 (-1.5)
same side · consensus Olympiakós SFP
Olympiakós SFP $21K—Olympiakós SFP $109—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $8.7K—
Fenerbahçe SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $20K—Yes $358—
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $15K—No $5.3K—
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-11-04?
same side · consensus Yes
No $19K—No $73—
AEK vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $2.7K—
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs. Olympiakós SFP: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $12K—Under $4.0K—