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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1skadii
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)64% (1097–630, n=1727)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)44% (192–243, n=435)
Consensus PnL$4.1M$4.8M$14.8M-$29K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #97PM monthly #31 + pinnedPM monthly #216
Sides with the consensus67% (109 of 162 open)74% (112 of 152 open)66% (21 of 32 open)80% (4 of 5 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15NFL −8 pts, n=147——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%46% of 363 at avg 46¢, ROI −3%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)27% (won 14% of 98)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)31% (won 42% of 112)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)26% (won 66% of 96)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)16% (won 77% of 57)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1skadii
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $6.8K—Claire Liu $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $6—
Will a team from LCK (South Korea) win LoL Worlds 2026?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $290—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851—Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491—No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837—Yes $60—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272—No $11—
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $16K—No $6.4K—
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7KNo $18K——
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5K—
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.3K—Under $9—
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.0K—Under $468—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95—Under $1.1K—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721—Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173—Yes $240—
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $73—No $317—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203—Under $41—
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $28No $115——
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51—Over $29—