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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpndb1RN1Scrip-scrip
Record (consensus markets)53% (5952–5311, n=11263)65% (892–472, n=1364)47% (13369–14864, n=28233)43% (3–4, n=7)
Consensus PnL$3.3M$4.6M$14.8M$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #22PM monthly #97PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #705
Sides with the consensus68% (224 of 331 open)78% (39 of 50 open)55% (113 of 205 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22NFL −9 pts, n=139——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 3 at avg 61¢, ROI +39%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)13% (won 15% of 168)10% (won 57% of 2538)0%
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)20% (won 39% of 256)22% (won 94% of 5565)0%
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)24% (won 58% of 314)36% (won 99% of 9017)100% (won 100% of 3)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)43% (won 93% of 550)33% (won 100% of 8250)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

31 on the same side, 37 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpndb1RN1Scrip-scrip
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.5K—
Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan
opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan $60—Central Michigan $12K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Over $2.4K—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.8K—Under $230—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $301—No $2.4K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $35—
Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $2.3K—Under $118—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.4K—Under $830—
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $2.1K—Hornets $40—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $274—Under $1.7K—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $23—
Spread: Knicks (-28.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Bulls $1.4K—Knicks $158—
Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.3K—Over $138—
Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Pacers $1.0K—Grizzlies $123—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.1K—Yes $7—
Spread: Knicks (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $988—Bulls $47—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $486—No $529—
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
Nets $843—Hornets $125—
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $693—Under $87—
Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $767—Under $8—
Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pacers
Grizzlies $536—Pacers $180—
Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $107—Over $535—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $467—Under $106—
Spread: Knicks (-26.5)
opposite sides · consensus Knicks
Knicks $555—Bulls $16—
Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $327—Over $235—
Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $407—Over $46—
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $429—Over $6—
Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $406—Over $1—
Spread: 76ers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $313—Pistons $49—
Spread: Nuggets (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Raptors
Nuggets $180—Raptors $130—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3—Over $278—
Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Suns $124—Trail Blazers $99—
Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $138—Over $85—
Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $53—Under $169—
Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 8.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $79—Over $47—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 224.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $100—Over $2—
Spread: Pistons (-21.5)
opposite sides · consensus 76ers
76ers $32—Pistons $63—
Spread: Pistons (-2.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $5.4K—76ers $370—
76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 217.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $5.2K—Over $27—
Pacers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.3K—Under $428—
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Thunder
Thunder $2.0K—Thunder $35—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
same side · consensus 76ers
76ers $1.8K—76ers $220—
Spread: Knicks (-12.5)
same side · consensus Knicks
Knicks $1.0K—Knicks $675—
Tlaxcala FC vs. Club Atletico La Paz: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Under $309—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $5—Over $1.5K—
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sabres
Sabres $15—Sabres $1.4K—
Spread: Hornets (-2.5)
same side · consensus Hornets
Nets $1.3K—Nets $130—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
same side · consensus No
No $42—No $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $1.1K—
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)
same side · consensus Raptors
Raptors $566—Raptors $275—