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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| Flaznorp | machbut | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 53% (5952–5311, n=11263) | 73% (16–6, n=22) | 50% (1082–1097, n=2179) | 47% (13369–14864, n=28233) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.3M | $14K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #22 | was PM monthly #879 | PM monthly #51 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 65% (204 of 316 open) | 0% (0 of 1 open) | 63% (25 of 40 open) | 56% (111 of 199 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| Weakest topic | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28% | 71% of 31 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% | 99% of 987 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 29% (won 11% of 423) | 10% (won 0% of 3) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2538) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 16% (won 40% of 243) | 16% (won 40% of 5) | 41% (won 99% of 405) | 22% (won 94% of 5565) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 17% (won 62% of 255) | 16% (won 60% of 5) | 49% (won 99% of 485) | 36% (won 99% of 9017) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 38% (won 94% of 561) | 58% (won 94% of 18) | 5% (won 100% of 46) | 33% (won 100% of 8250) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
37 on the same side, 54 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | Flaznorp | machbut | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan vs. Eastern Michigan opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | Eastern Michigan $60 | — | Eastern Michigan $417 | Central Michigan $12K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $13K | — | — | Over $1.5K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Central Michigan $4.2K | Eastern Michigan $2.0K |
| Spread: Toledo (-14.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $4.2K | Sacramento State $765 |
| Spread: Sabres (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Sabres | Senators $2.5K | — | — | Sabres $1.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $1.4K | — | — | Over $2.4K |
| Spread: UMass (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $2.5K | UMass $1.0K |
| Ball State vs. UMass: O/U 51.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $3.0K | Under $242 |
| Spread: Toledo (-27.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $2.2K | Sacramento State $800 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 212.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.8K | — | — | Under $230 |
| Spread: Toledo (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Sacramento State $80 | Toledo $2.8K |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 49.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Under $797 | Over $2.1K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? opposite sides · consensus No | Yes $301 | — | — | No $2.4K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $2.6K | — | — | Over $35 |
| Toledo vs. Sacramento State: O/U 53.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | — | Over $2.5K | Under $3 |
| Hornets vs. Nets: O/U 214.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $2.3K | — | — | Under $118 |
| 76ers vs. Pistons: O/U 219.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $1.4K | — | — | Under $830 |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-2.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $1.4K | Central Michigan $815 |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $2.1K | — | — | Hornets $40 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Over $274 | — | — | Under $1.7K |
| Spread: Toledo (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $298 | Sacramento State $1.5K |
| Spread: Central Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Central Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $984 | Central Michigan $597 |
| Spread: UMass (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Ball State | — | — | Ball State $900 | UMass $663 |
| Spread: Knicks (-28.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Bulls $1.4K | — | — | Knicks $158 |
| Spread: Toledo (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Toledo | — | — | Toledo $1.0K | Sacramento State $463 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $1.3K | — | — | Over $138 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-6.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Pacers $1.0K | — | — | Grizzlies $123 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | No $1.1K | — | — | Yes $7 |
| Spread: Knicks (-11.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $988 | — | — | Bulls $47 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $486 | — | — | No $529 |
| Spread: Hornets (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Nets | Nets $845 | — | — | Hornets $125 |
| Spread: UMass (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus UMass | — | — | Ball State $480 | UMass $457 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 236.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $693 | — | — | Under $87 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $767 | — | — | Under $8 |
| Spread: Grizzlies (-7.5) opposite sides · consensus Pacers | Grizzlies $536 | — | — | Pacers $180 |
| Spread: Toledo (-30.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $243 | Sacramento State $462 |
| Senators vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $107 | — | — | Over $535 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $467 | — | — | Under $106 |
| Spread: Knicks (-26.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Knicks $555 | — | — | Bulls $16 |
| Jazz vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $327 | — | — | Over $235 |
| Blackhawks vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $451 | — | — | Over $6 |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets: O/U 218.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Under $407 | — | — | Over $46 |
| Escorpiones de Belén vs. LD Alajuelense: O/U 3.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $406 | — | — | Over $1 |
| Spread: Toledo (-16.5) opposite sides · consensus Sacramento State | — | — | Toledo $142 | Sacramento State $211 |
| Spread: Nuggets (-5.5) opposite sides · consensus Raptors | Nuggets $180 | — | — | Raptors $130 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 229.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $3 | — | — | Over $278 |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers | Suns $124 | — | — | Trail Blazers $99 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs: O/U 227.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | Under $138 | — | — | Over $85 |
| Raptors vs. Nuggets: O/U 231.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | Over $53 | — | — | Under $169 |
| Spread: Eastern Michigan (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Eastern Michigan | — | — | Eastern Michigan $161 | Central Michigan $50 |