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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpereira12VirIntrepidus
Record (consensus markets)71% (2793–1168, n=3961)48% (669–733, n=1402)67% (2–1, n=3)88% (15–2, n=17)
Consensus PnL$519K$835K$16K$475K
Tracked asPM monthly #8PM monthly #14PM monthly #891PM monthly #58
Sides with the consensus43% (53 of 124 open)45% (9 of 20 open)no open consensus position50% (3 of 6 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topicSoccer −1 pts, n=564———
Settled positions, side won42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 422 at avg 52¢, ROI +45%—100% of 3 at avg 63¢, ROI +16%
Entries under 30¢42% (won 5% of 495)5% (won 100% of 23)—33% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢22% (won 39% of 266)34% (won 100% of 145)—0%
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 134)52% (won 100% of 219)—0%
Entries 70¢ and up25% (won 94% of 296)8% (won 100% of 35)—67% (won 100% of 2)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

7 on the same side, 7 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpkeeptheblueflagflyinghighpereira12VirIntrepidus
Sydney Kings vs. New Zealand Breakers
opposite sides · consensus Sydney Kings
New Zealand Breakers $2Sydney Kings $6.9K——
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $174——Chiefs $6.1K
Goyang vs. Wonju DB Promy
opposite sides · consensus Goyang
Goyang $2.3KWonju DB Promy $177——
KCC Egis vs. Daegu Pegasus
opposite sides · consensus KCC Egis
KCC Egis $530Daegu Pegasus $863——
Kobe: Benjamin Hassan vs Jumpei Yamasaki
opposite sides · consensus Benjamin Hassan
Jumpei Yamasaki $29Benjamin Hassan $182——
India Tour of New Zealand ODIs: New Zealand vs India
opposite sides · consensus New Zealand
India $57New Zealand $21——
England Tour of Australia ODIs: Australia vs England
opposite sides · consensus England
Australia $5England $27——
WTA Finals Doubles, Group 1 (Doubles): Guo/Mladenovic vs Mertens/Zhang
same side · consensus Mertens/Zhang
Mertens/Zhang $1.2KMertens/Zhang $9.3K——
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $303——Vikings $5.8K
LG Sakers vs. Sonic Boom
same side · consensus LG Sakers
LG Sakers $525LG Sakers $355——
Big Bash League, Women: Sydney Sixers vs Melbourne Renegades
same side · consensus Sydney Sixers
Melbourne Renegades $327Melbourne Renegades $42——
49ers vs. Cowboys
same side · consensus 49ers
Cowboys $15——Cowboys $254
Nepal Premier League: Chitwan Rhinos vs Karnali Yaks
same side · consensus Chitwan Rhinos
Karnali Yaks $10Karnali Yaks $2——
ICC Women's Emerging Nations Trophy T20s: Thailand Women vs Zimbabwe Women
same side · consensus Zimbabwe Women
Thailand Women $6Thailand Women $2——