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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
Flaznorphideki.hirataUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)53% (5927–5304, n=11231)no settled market50% (19560–19625, n=39185)
Consensus PnL$3.3M—$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #21PM monthly #608PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus64% (210 of 330 open)no open consensus position68% (83 of 122 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%50% of 2 at avg 29¢, ROI +3%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 423)50% (won 0% of 1)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 243)50% (won 100% of 1)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢17% (won 62% of 255)0%22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up38% (won 94% of 561)0%51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

15 on the same side, 15 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorphideki.hirataUpTheBlues
Will KV Kortrijk win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $315—No $26K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $5—Under $5.2K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $420—Under $762
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $720—Over $5
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $495—Yes $192
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $262—Athletic Club $347
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $10—No $288
Will Levante UD win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $23—Yes $273
Will FCV Dender EH win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $78—No $129
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $111—Yes $3
Spread: Levante UD (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Levante UD
CD Tarancón $11—Levante UD $86
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $42—Yes $36
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $51—Under $12
Will Gateshead FC win on 2026-10-23?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2—No $42
CD Tarancón vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $24—Under $4
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $1.0K—No $16K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.4K—Under $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
No $1.1K—No $2.6K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
No $1.7K—No $1.2K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
Boluspor $751—Boluspor $1.5K
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
Yes $1.1K—Yes $161
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $101—Under $931
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $311—Under $416
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
Over $705—Over $5
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $645—Under $44
CD Anaitasuna vs. Deportivo Alavés: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $14—Yes $175
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $21—No $61