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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpgoogleplayhaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)72% (2002–786, n=2788)50% (6–6, n=12)no settled market54% (412–350, n=762)
Consensus PnL$395K$423K$0$358K
Tracked asPM monthly #15PM monthly #33PM monthly #843PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus60% (106 of 177 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position68% (90 of 133 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topicSoccer ±0 pts, n=381———
Settled positions, side won44% of 896 at avg 44¢, ROI −1%100% of 6 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%—100% of 194 at avg 53¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢40% (won 6% of 362)0%—1% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 30–50¢21% (won 43% of 192)17% (won 100% of 1)—32% (won 100% of 62)
Entries 50–70¢11% (won 64% of 103)83% (won 100% of 5)—59% (won 100% of 115)
Entries 70¢ and up27% (won 95% of 239)0%—8% (won 100% of 15)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 6 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpgoogleplayhaveanedgeDOTxyzHomeRunHazard
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
Clippers $1.8K——Thunder $2.0K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Kings $7——Trail Blazers $2.6K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $2.1K——Over $99
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K——Under $2
Spread: Trail Blazers (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
Trail Blazers $1.1K——Kings $61
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 225.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $891——Over $7
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 223.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $967——Under $11K
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
same side · consensus Clippers
Thunder $1.2K——Thunder $8.7K
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
Vikings $296——Vikings $6.5K
Trail Blazers vs. Kings: O/U 229.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $1.9K——Over $3.9K
Thunder vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $1.6K——Under $2.1K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
Seahawks $546——Seahawks $1.5K
Chiefs vs. Falcons
same side · consensus Chiefs
Falcons $169——Falcons $1.2K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $49——Colts $1.1K
Houston vs. Colorado
same side · consensus Houston
Colorado $14——Colorado $74