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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpQuantDeLaFugaziRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6403–5995, n=12398)65% (697–372, n=1069)48% (14153–15617, n=29770)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$108K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #11Hand-pickedPM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus75% (239 of 319 open)69% (9 of 13 open)51% (77 of 152 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%59% of 1479 at avg 51¢, ROI +6%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)25% (won 21% of 373)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)23% (won 45% of 334)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)23% (won 71% of 341)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)29% (won 92% of 431)33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

57 on the same side, 50 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpQuantDeLaFugaziRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $46—Yes $192No $216
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1KUnder $960
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42Under $801
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $16K—Yes $49—
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $10K—Over $5—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Hamburger SV vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.8K—Over $3—
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $3—
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K—No $877—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
FC Eindhoven vs. Jong Ajax Amsterdam: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.7K—Over $20—
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.5K—Over $28—
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Over $8—
VVV Venlo vs. Jong PSV Eindhoven: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $1.4K—Over $1—
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.2K—Over $43—
Oxford City FC vs. Leicester City FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.2K—Under $9—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529—
Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $810—Over $126—
Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $910—Under $1—
US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Annecy: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $48—Over $727—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $250—Under $464—
Will Montpellier HSC vs. FC Metz end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $564—Yes $142—
Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $622—Over $42—
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $211—No $436—
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $430—No $210—
SK Rapid vs. Wolfsberger AC: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $599—Over $11—
Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Marco Cecchinato
opposite sides · consensus Facundo Acosta
Facundo Acosta $558—Marco Cecchinato $9—
Spread: Deportivo Alavés (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Sevilla FC
Sevilla FC $499—Deportivo Alavés $2—
Dijon Football Côte d'Or vs. Red Star FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $472—Over $16—
Will FC Annecy win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $369—Yes $5—
Spread: Heracles Almelo (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Roda JC Kerkrade
Roda JC Kerkrade $92—Heracles Almelo $265—
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $157—Under $159—
Everton FC vs. Coventry City FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $224—Over $41—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
Helmond Sport vs. FC Volendam: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $203—Under $1—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $133——Yes $2
Exact Score: Everton FC 1 - 0 Coventry City FC?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $104—Yes $30—
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $78—Under $9—