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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpNagastaBagambiRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)52% (6434–6029, n=12463)41% (23–33, n=56)48% (14148–15609, n=29757)50% (20605–20391, n=40996)
Consensus PnL$3.6M$20K$14.8M$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #890PM monthly #30 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus75% (241 of 320 open)no open consensus position57% (64 of 112 open)69% (31 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=924, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22———
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%96% of 25 at avg 35¢, ROI +65%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 39731 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)36% (won 100% of 9)10% (won 57% of 2588)7% (won 99% of 2699)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)56% (won 93% of 14)22% (won 94% of 5673)20% (won 100% of 7974)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)8% (won 100% of 2)35% (won 99% of 9163)22% (won 100% of 8588)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)0%33% (won 100% of 8536)52% (won 100% of 20470)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

51 on the same side, 47 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpNagastaBagambiRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K—Over $1.6KUnder $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K—Yes $1.9KNo $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K—Yes $7No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613—Over $3.3KUnder $1.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K—Over $36Under $1.5K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $226
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475—Under $1.3KUnder $64
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $702—Under $20Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $354
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $139—Yes $192No $249
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K—No $2.5KNo $3.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104—Under $1.1KUnder $960
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177—Under $42Under $801
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. FC Energie Cottbus: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $5.9K—Over $2.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $360Under $7.6K
Will FC Energie Cottbus win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $5.8K—Yes $288—
Costa do Sauipe: Juan Carlos Prado vs Camilo Ugo Carabelli
opposite sides · consensus Camilo Ugo Carabelli
Camilo Ugo Carabelli $5.1K—Juan Carlos Prado $1—
HUS Agadir vs. RS Berkane: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.7K—Over $777—
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $3.7K—Over $4—
Will Montpellier HSC win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.4K—Yes $309—
Will SK Rapid win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $1.7K—No $904—
Will Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $2.0K—Yes $389—
Hammarby IF vs. IF Elfsborg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.3K—Over $6—
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.2K——Yes $757
Villa Maria: Juan Bautista Torres vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
opposite sides · consensus Juan Bautista Torres
Genaro Alberto Olivieri $1.8K—Juan Bautista Torres $1—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.5K—Under $105—
SG Dynamo Dresden vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $110—Over $1.5K—
Will Racing Club win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $1.3K—Yes $60—
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
——No $1.1KYes $74
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471—No $529—
AS Nancy-Lorraine vs. FC Sochaux-Montbéliard: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $776—Over $32—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $596——Yes $154
Exact Score: FC Argeș Pitești 1 - 0 Dinamo 1948?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $320—No $407—
Will FC Viktoria Cologne win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $632—No $37—
Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $611—Over $15—
W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Malaika Rapolu
opposite sides · consensus Malaika Rapolu
Malaika Rapolu $94—Sofia Johnson $521—
FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $366—Under $234—
Silkeborg IF vs. Lyngby BK: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $510—Under $86—
Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $523—No $36—
CA Barracas Central vs. Racing Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $468—Under $54—
Will HUS Agadir win on 2026-11-06?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $357—No $68—
Will Willem II Tilburg vs. PEC Zwolle end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $299—No $72—
Spread: 76ers (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Cavaliers
76ers $188—Cavaliers $107—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $61No $174
Bratislava 2: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov
opposite sides · consensus Jurij Rodionov
Jurij Rodionov $122—Kimmer Coppejans $48—
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $133——Yes $2
FC Argeș Pitești vs. Dinamo 1948: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $128—Under $6—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $31—No $12—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
——Over $29Under $12
Will Grenoble Foot 38 vs. Stade de Reims end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $7—No $14—