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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpJ-E-Rndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)52% (6493–6083, n=12576)44% (164–208, n=372)63% (993–578, n=1571)47% (14272–15777, n=30049)
Consensus PnL$3.7M$42K$4.8M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #13was PM monthly #418PM monthly #95PM monthly #27 + pinned
Sides with the consensus67% (195 of 291 open)89% (64 of 72 open)71% (55 of 78 open)45% (30 of 66 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +3 pts n=21, ROI −1%
  • F1 +4 pts n=53, ROI +4%
  • Politics +2 pts n=33, ROI +2%
Weakest topicOther Sports −13 pts, n=22Elections −1 pts, n=78NFL −9 pts, n=144—
Settled positions, side won56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%28% of 377 at avg 27¢, ROI 0%64% of 1398 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 25960 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 465)70% (won 4% of 263)13% (won 15% of 186)10% (won 57% of 2588)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 40% of 255)4% (won 53% of 15)19% (won 39% of 267)22% (won 94% of 5673)
Entries 50–70¢16% (won 62% of 260)6% (won 70% of 23)23% (won 58% of 326)35% (won 99% of 9163)
Entries 70¢ and up39% (won 94% of 637)20% (won 92% of 76)44% (won 94% of 619)33% (won 100% of 8536)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

20 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpJ-E-Rndb1RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 230.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $4.6K——Over $234
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $7
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $675Yes $1.7K—
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers: O/U 231.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $1.9K——Over $174
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 228.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $1.6K——Under $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $471——No $524
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $130——Over $842
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Will Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $206——Yes $71
Spread: Colorado State Rams (-16.5)
opposite sides · consensus Colorado State Rams
Idaho Vandals $131——Colorado State Rams $105
Spread: Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Tōkyō Verdy
Shimizu S-Pulse $55——Tōkyō Verdy $105
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.6K
Will Frosinone Calcio win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $6.4K——No $5.8K
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
Bianca Andreescu $2.7K——Bianca Andreescu $8.5K
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $3.8K——Under $6.7K
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
Yes $6.6K——Yes $3.4K
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $3.9K——No $5.4K
Will Sagan Tosu win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $4.1K——No $5.0K
Will Nagoya Grampus win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus Yes
No $6.1K——No $2.9K
Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Tōkyō Verdy: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $2.3K——Under $6
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
same side · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $111——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $104——Under $1.1K
Will Yokohama FC win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
No $242——No $630
Spread: Spurs (-33.5)
same side · consensus Kings
Kings $848——Kings $15
Michigan Wolverines vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 145.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $638——Over $216
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $702——Under $20
North Dakota State Bison vs. San Francisco Dons
same side · consensus San Francisco Dons
San Francisco Dons $585——San Francisco Dons $10
Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
Kings $351——Kings $133
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $177——Under $41