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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
FlaznorpHBAFlover98joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)39% (243–374, n=617)45% (10–12, n=22)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)
Consensus PnL$4.1M-$271K$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #11was PM monthly #838PM monthly #2PM monthly #31 + pinned
Sides with the consensus68% (113 of 167 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)67% (22 of 33 open)
Strongest topics
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topicOther Sports −28 pts, n=15Esports −9 pts, n=99——
Settled positions, side won56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%39% of 550 at avg 39¢, ROI 0%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢29% (won 11% of 403)30% (won 14% of 164)12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢16% (won 38% of 228)41% (won 42% of 227)6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢15% (won 62% of 214)21% (won 59% of 118)65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up40% (won 94% of 553)7% (won 71% of 41)18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 12 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketFlaznorpHBAFlover98joseph00677RN1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $119K—Yes $2.2M—
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Claire Liu vs Alexandra Eala
opposite sides · consensus Claire Liu
Alexandra Eala $6.8K——Claire Liu $12K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $13K——Over $1.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $4.5K——Yes $1.9K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $613——Over $3.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
No $3.1K——Yes $6
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Under $2.6K——Over $36
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
Over $475——Under $1.3K
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $851——Yes $326
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $491——No $524
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $837——Yes $60
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $272——No $11
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $53K——No $2.2K
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-08?
same side · consensus No
No $18K——No $7.5K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
No $14K——No $2.5K
BNP Paribas Nordic Open, Qualification: Inaki Montes vs Lorenzo Sonego
same side · consensus Lorenzo Sonego
Lorenzo Sonego $1.3K——Lorenzo Sonego $15K
Will SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $3.7K——No $2.7K
SSC Napoli vs. SS Lazio: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $4.6K——Under $9
FC København vs. Brøndby IF: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $3.4K——Under $514
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $95——Under $1.1K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $721——Under $20
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $173——Yes $240
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246——Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
Under $203——Under $41
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Over $51——Over $29