Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2657–1095, n=3752)52% (527–481, n=1008)
Consensus PnL—$502K$370K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #9
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position53% (66 of 125 open)63% (55 of 88 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564—
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

9 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpHomeRunHazard
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K
Spread: Little Rock Trojans (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Northwestern State Demons
—Little Rock Trojans $9Northwestern State Demons $405
Montana Grizzlies vs. North Dakota Fighting Hawks
opposite sides · consensus Montana Grizzlies
—Montana Grizzlies $20North Dakota Fighting Hawks $277
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 152.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $142
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $233Flames $3.6K
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State
same side · consensus Texas Tech
—Texas Tech $738Texas Tech $2.8K
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $23Arizona $2.3K
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
same side · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $5Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 166.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $15Under $1.3K
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 164.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28Over $33