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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
D7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (2750–1138, n=3888)52% (560–514, n=1074)55% (12–10, n=22)
Consensus PnL—$518K$410K$91K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #671PM monthly #8PM monthly #9was PM monthly #70
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (58 of 117 open)64% (47 of 74 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic—Soccer −1 pts, n=564——
Settled positions, side won—42% of 1191 at avg 43¢, ROI −3%100% of 270 at avg 53¢, ROI +48%92% of 12 at avg 46¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—42% (won 5% of 495)2% (won 100% of 5)8% (won 0% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢—22% (won 39% of 266)31% (won 100% of 84)58% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 50–70¢—11% (won 64% of 134)60% (won 100% of 161)33% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—25% (won 94% of 296)7% (won 100% of 20)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

8 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketD7422D98eA0d5b6Dd942a8eEd1d2a61945bFd0FlaznorpHomeRunHazardThunderous-Authoritarian-Snarl
Chiefs vs. Falcons
opposite sides · consensus Chiefs
—Falcons $174Chiefs $8.8K—
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Nevada Wolf Pack: O/U 152.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $3Under $142—
Vikings vs. Packers
same side · consensus Packers
—Vikings $303Vikings $6.7K—
Flames vs. Kings
same side · consensus Kings
—Flames $225Flames $3.6K—
Utah vs. Arizona
same side · consensus Arizona
—Arizona $30Arizona $3.0K—
Seahawks vs. Raiders
same side · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $546Seahawks $1.5K—
Spread: Nevada Wolf Pack (-9.5)
same side · consensus Utah Valley Wolverines
—Nevada Wolf Pack $12Nevada Wolf Pack $1.4K—
Dolphins vs. Colts
same side · consensus Colts
—Colts $49Colts $1.1K—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 166.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $32Under $997—
New Mexico Lobos vs. Santa Clara Broncos: O/U 164.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $28Over $45—