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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026plustiRN1
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11377–14474, n=25851)55% (17–14, n=31)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$11K$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #2was PM monthly #87was PM monthly #883PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus81% (34 of 42 open)65% (41 of 63 open)25% (1 of 4 open)54% (72 of 133 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—100% of 15 at avg 53¢, ROI +49%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—0%10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—27% (won 100% of 4)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—73% (won 100% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—0%33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026plustiRN1
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $35KUnder $2Under $2.3K
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-11-08?
opposite sides · consensus No
——Yes $1.4KNo $24K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.7K
Viking FK vs. KFUM-Kameratene Oslo: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $789—Under $378
Spread: 76ers (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bulls
—Bulls $455—76ers $121
76ers vs. Bulls: O/U 237.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $319—Under $238
Celtic FC vs. Kilmarnock FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $509—Over $1
SC Freiburg vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $213—Under $146
Knoxville: Emile Hudd vs Justin Boulais
same side · consensus Justin Boulais
—Justin Boulais $2.6K—Justin Boulais $37K
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)
same side · consensus Colts
Colts $22KColts $14K——
Le Mans FC vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $18K—Under $642
Spread: Viking FK (-1.5)
same side · consensus Viking FK
—KFUM-Kameratene Oslo $18K—KFUM-Kameratene Oslo $1.1K
Spread: Giants (-3.5)
same side · consensus Eagles
Giants $3.2KGiants $9.2K——
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $766—Over $2.1K
Stade Brestois 29 vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $2.6K—Over $274
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360
FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.6K—Under $25
Spread: FC Midtjylland (-1.5)
same side · consensus Sønderjyske Fodbold
—Sønderjyske Fodbold $880—Sønderjyske Fodbold $17
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
same side · consensus PSV
—SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $29—SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden $6
Lima: Santiago De la Fuente vs Ignacio Monzon
same side · consensus Santiago De la Fuente
—Ignacio Monzon $7—Ignacio Monzon $1