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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1Robbb
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)48% (17938–19366, n=37304)83% (2411–480, n=2891)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$14.9M$95K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #31 + pinnedwas PM monthly #996
Sides with the consensus81% (29 of 36 open)53% (17 of 32 open)67% (36 of 54 open)80% (85 of 106 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
Weakest topic———College Football −23 pts, n=36
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%83% of 1863 at avg 78¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)10% (won 57% of 2594)7% (won 10% of 139)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)22% (won 94% of 5704)6% (won 34% of 116)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)35% (won 99% of 9204)12% (won 68% of 220)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)33% (won 100% of 8622)75% (won 96% of 1388)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 4 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026RN1Robbb
Heat vs. Kings: O/U 238.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $7.6KOver $3.6K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Bears (-14.5)
opposite sides · consensus Buccaneers
—Bears $295Buccaneers $2.4K—
Spread: Bears (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Bears
—Buccaneers $540Bears $414—
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus No
No $421K——No $463
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $306K——Yes $1.0K
WTA Finals, Group A: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegula
same side · consensus Coco Gauff
—Coco Gauff $91KCoco Gauff $58K—
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $74K——Yes $2.0K
Knoxville: Patrick Zahraj vs Sebastian Dominko
same side · consensus Patrick Zahraj
—Patrick Zahraj $65KPatrick Zahraj $5.8K—
Matsuyama: Keisuke Saitoh vs Renta Tokuda
same side · consensus Keisuke Saitoh
—Keisuke Saitoh $6.6KKeisuke Saitoh $25K—
Spread: Heat (-9.5)
same side · consensus Heat
—Heat $19KHeat $1.7K—
Pelicans vs. Clippers: O/U 226.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9.9KOver $256—
Spread: Bears (-5.5)
same side · consensus Buccaneers
Bears $96Bears $8.1K——
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 52.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.1KUnder $5.0K—
Buccaneers vs. Bears: O/U 46.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $1.3KUnder $1.8K——
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?
same side · consensus No
No $2.4K——No $173
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3KOver $360—