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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpSausesantana
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)44% (11396–14488, n=25884)52% (7739–7030, n=14769)100% (1–0, n=1)
Consensus PnL$7.7M-$8.8M$4.1M$20K
Tracked asPM monthly #1was PM monthly #87PM monthly #9was PM monthly #830
Sides with the consensus88% (30 of 34 open)69% (49 of 71 open)67% (97 of 144 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15—
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%100% of 5556 at avg 60¢, ROI +8%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%100% of 1 at avg 80¢, ROI +21%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)4% (won 97% of 237)29% (won 11% of 403)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)26% (won 100% of 1446)16% (won 38% of 228)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)40% (won 100% of 2198)15% (won 62% of 214)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)30% (won 100% of 1675)40% (won 94% of 553)100% (won 100% of 1)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpSausesantana
Cardinals vs. Seahawks
opposite sides · consensus Seahawks
—Seahawks $85KCardinals $121—
Spread: Pistons (-5.5)
opposite sides · consensus Pistons
—Pistons $32KLakers $6.4K—
Spread: Mavericks (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Mavericks
—Nets $22KMavericks $402—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 222.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $19KOver $390—
Spread: Pistons (-7.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Lakers $8.2KPistons $215—
Spread: Heat (-10.5)
opposite sides · consensus Kings
—Kings $4.8KHeat $298—
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Worlds Playoffs
opposite sides · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $3.1KT1 $5—
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $148Yes $2.7K—
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.3KOver $191—
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)
opposite sides · consensus Nets
—Nets $943Mavericks $499—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Lakers vs. Pistons
same side · consensus Pistons
—Lakers $245Lakers $6.0K—
Spread: Texans (-4.5)
same side · consensus Texans
Chargers $2.4KChargers $2——
Lakers vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.1KUnder $171—
Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 220.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $115Under $297—