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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpS-Works
Record (consensus markets)41% (587–850, n=1437)36% (3741–6739, n=10480)52% (6603–6153, n=12756)75% (1830–603, n=2433)
Consensus PnL$7.6M$3.2M$3.7M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #87PM monthly #13PM monthly #108
Sides with the consensus88% (29 of 33 open)61% (17 of 28 open)68% (167 of 247 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
not computed yet
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • Esports +5 pts n=492, ROI +4%
  • MLB +4 pts n=308, ROI −2%
  • NBA +3 pts n=383, ROI +1%
Weakest topic——Other Sports −28 pts, n=15Crypto −1 pts, n=46
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%—56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%75% of 2256 at avg 72¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)—29% (won 11% of 403)6% (won 14% of 145)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)—16% (won 38% of 228)16% (won 48% of 367)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)—15% (won 62% of 214)23% (won 60% of 509)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)—40% (won 94% of 553)55% (won 96% of 1235)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

6 on the same side, 10 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankferrariChampions2026FlaznorpS-Works
Arsenal FC vs. Hull City AFC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $33KUnder $578—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $23KUnder $7.0K—
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $20KUnder $186—
Leeds United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $12KOver $1.2K—
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Hull City AFC
—Hull City AFC $12KArsenal FC $268—
Chennai Open: Magda Linette vs Anastasia Zakharova
opposite sides · consensus Anastasia Zakharova
—Magda Linette $6.5KAnastasia Zakharova $478—
Rolex Paris Masters: Casper Ruud vs Carlos Alcaraz
opposite sides · consensus Carlos Alcaraz
—Carlos Alcaraz $5.7KCasper Ruud $333—
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.4KUnder $606—
Cagliari Calcio vs. Frosinone Calcio: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $822Under $138—
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus SV 07 Elversberg
—BV Borussia 09 Dortmund $551SV 07 Elversberg $386—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $1.2KUnder $13K—
Málaga CF vs. Real Racing Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $5.1KUnder $2—
Cali: Alice Tubello vs Bianca Andreescu
same side · consensus Bianca Andreescu
—Bianca Andreescu $44Bianca Andreescu $4.3K—
SC Paderborn 07 vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $2.5KOver $10—
Bristol City FC vs. Norwich City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $246Under $2.0K—
Portsmouth FC vs. Stoke City FC: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $241Under $214—