Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (549–663, n=1212)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)50% (19442–19516, n=38958)
Consensus PnL$11.2M$14.8M$3.1M
Tracked asPM monthly #2PM monthly #24 + pinnedPM monthly #8
Sides with the consensus66% (25 of 38 open)50% (20 of 40 open)64% (30 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=141, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=280, ROI +38%
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 81% of 57)10% (won 57% of 2606)7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 201)22% (won 94% of 5665)20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 99% of 196)36% (won 99% of 9185)22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up19% (won 100% of 109)32% (won 100% of 8345)51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankRN1UpTheBlues
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $941Under $21K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $382Under $7.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $3.1KNo $3.9K
Will CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—No $1.5KYes $5.3K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $1.5KUnder $5.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Over $2.9KUnder $2.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $7No $2.6K
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1.7KAthletic Club $223
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $35Under $1.5K
Will Utebo FC win on 2026-10-28?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2KYes $47
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $162No $288
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1Athletic Club $347
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $90No $139
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $20Over $5
Will CD Tenerife win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $3.3KNo $3.1K
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-11-01?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6KNo $3.6K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KUnder $945
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $44Boluspor $1.5K
CD Tenerife vs. FC Andorra: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $56Under $44