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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorppvc975UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6467–6001, n=12468)99% (17425–259, n=17684)50% (20849–20545, n=41394)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.5M$96K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #22was PM monthly #739PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus81% (25 of 31 open)80% (264 of 329 open)71% (5 of 7 open)70% (30 of 43 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22Crypto ±0 pts, n=286—
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%99% of 10860 at avg 99¢, ROI 0%100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)1% (won 10% of 77)7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)0% (won 82% of 11)21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)0% (won 83% of 6)22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)99% (won 100% of 10766)51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

18 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorppvc975UpTheBlues
Juventus FC leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $836—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $596—Yes $154
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246—Athletic Club $354
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $138—No $249
Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $114—Athletic Club $218
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $13K—Under $21K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Spread: AS Monaco FC (-1.5)
same side · consensus AS Monaco FC
—AS Monaco FC $9.6KAS Monaco FC $68—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $967Under $6.0K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $3.6KUnder $513—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $586—Under $1.4K
Sport Lisboa e Benfica leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $600Yes $566—
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $1.0K—Yes $153
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $337—Under $755
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.1K—Over $8
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $176—Under $796
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $361—Under $595
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6