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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | kinderSman | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 45% (573–710, n=1283) | 52% (6520–6024, n=12544) | 99% (428–6, n=434) | 47% (14133–15621, n=29754) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.9M | $3.5M | $161K | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #23 | PM monthly #823 | PM monthly #29 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | 86% (24 of 28 open) | 69% (280 of 407 open) | 100% (6 of 6 open) | 57% (96 of 167 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| ||
| Weakest topic | — | Other Sports −13 pts, n=22 | Tech −2 pts, n=28 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27% | 100% of 410 at avg 98¢, ROI +2% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 29% (won 11% of 465) | 0% | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 16% (won 40% of 255) | 1% (won 100% of 4) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 16% (won 62% of 260) | 0% | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 39% (won 94% of 637) | 99% (won 100% of 406) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
79 on the same side, 41 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | BreakTheBank | Flaznorp | kinderSman | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $13K | — | Over $1.5K |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $3.5K | — | Over $9.6K |
| Will Inter Club d'Escaldes win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $8.3K | — | Yes $66 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $2.7K | — | Over $3.9K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $4.4K | — | Yes $1.9K |
| Charlottesville: Daniel Milavsky vs Max Hans Rehberg opposite sides · consensus Max Hans Rehberg | — | Daniel Milavsky $692 | — | Max Hans Rehberg $4.3K |
| Bratislava 2: Dalibor Svrcina vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard opposite sides · consensus Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | — | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard $2.3K | — | Dalibor Svrcina $1.8K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $586 | — | Over $3.3K |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.7K | — | Over $470 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $3.1K | — | Yes $7 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $2.6K | — | Over $36 |
| Cali: Julia Riera vs Renata Zarazua opposite sides · consensus Renata Zarazua | — | Julia Riera $1.3K | — | Renata Zarazua $988 |
| Will PFK Levski Sofia win on 2026-11-05? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $2.1K | — | Yes $62 |
| W35 Orlando, FL: Lavinia Tanasie vs Whitney Osuigwe opposite sides · consensus Whitney Osuigwe | — | Whitney Osuigwe $2.1K | — | Lavinia Tanasie $5 |
| Kuopion PS vs. KAA Gent: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $216 | — | Under $1.6K |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $476 | — | Under $1.3K |
| Lillestrøm SK vs. FC Viktoria Plzeň: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $175 | — | Over $1.5K |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $1.2K | — | Under $422 |
| RSC Anderlecht vs. FC Red Bull Salzburg: 1st Half O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $880 | — | Over $725 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 1 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $967 | — | Yes $319 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 2 - 2 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $819 | — | Yes $224 |
| Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $466 | — | No $529 |
| Will Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $340 | — | No $585 |
| Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 0 - 1 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $682 | — | Yes $152 |
| W75 Petange: Lisa Pigato vs Greet Minnen opposite sides · consensus Greet Minnen | — | Greet Minnen $686 | — | Lisa Pigato $48 |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $554 | — | Yes $125 |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: Both Teams to Score opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $78 | — | Yes $515 |
| Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Olympique Lyonnais: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $6 | — | Over $502 |
| Exact Score: AC Milan 1 - 0 Ferencvárosi TC? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $387 | — | No $89 |
| AFC Bournemouth leading at halftime? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $311 | — | Yes $20 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 2.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $299 | — | Over $13 |
| M25 Valencia: Julio Cesar Porras vs Ivan Gakhov opposite sides · consensus Ivan Gakhov | — | Julio Cesar Porras $23 | — | Ivan Gakhov $225 |
| W50 Huamantla: Sofia Johnson vs Jessica Hinojosa Gomez opposite sides · consensus Sofia Johnson | — | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez $17 | — | Sofia Johnson $225 |
| FK Crvena zvezda vs. Inter Club d'Escaldes: O/U 5.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $176 | — | Over $7 |
| W50 Huamantla: Jo-Yee Chan vs Cadence Brace opposite sides · consensus Cadence Brace | — | Cadence Brace $60 | — | Jo-Yee Chan $36 |
| Mjällby AIF vs. FK Borac Banja Luka: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Over $54 | — | Under $29 |
| Atalanta BC vs. Qairat FK: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Under $74 | — | Over $7 |
| FC Thun vs. Heart of Midlothian FC: O/U 1.5 opposite sides · consensus Over | — | Over $62 | — | Under $4 |
| Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5 opposite sides · consensus Under | — | Under $7 | — | Over $29 |
| Exact Score: Lillestrøm SK 0 - 0 FC Viktoria Plzeň? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $13 | — | Yes $4 |
| Exact Score: AC Sparta Praha 0 - 0 AFC Bournemouth? opposite sides · consensus No | — | No $11 | — | Yes $4 |
| AC Milan vs. Ferencvárosi TC: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $31K | — | Under $3.0K |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $22K | — | No $4.2K |
| Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $16K | — | Yes $11K |
| Will FC Thun win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | Yes $3.5K | — | Yes $19K |
| PFK Levski Sofia vs. Jagiellonia Białystok: O/U 4.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $8.2K | — | Under $9.8K |
| Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10? same side · consensus No | — | No $14K | — | No $2.5K |
| Will NEC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $7.2K | — | No $8.3K |
| Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-11-05? same side · consensus No | — | No $9.3K | — | No $6.1K |
| Trabzonspor vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5 same side · consensus Under | — | Under $14K | — | Under $609 |