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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpUnreasonableAwarenessUpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6506–6010, n=12516)no settled market50% (20930–20602, n=41532)
Consensus PnL$7.9M$3.3M-$49K$3.2M
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #24was PM monthly #182PM monthly #7
Sides with the consensus62% (18 of 29 open)72% (169 of 234 open)11% (1 of 9 open)70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
not computed yet
  • MLB +59 pts n=918, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22——
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%—100% of 38237 at avg 67¢, ROI +37%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 465)—7% (won 99% of 2623)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 255)—21% (won 100% of 7839)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)16% (won 62% of 260)—22% (won 100% of 8452)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)39% (won 94% of 637)—51% (won 100% of 19323)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

17 on the same side, 9 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpUnreasonableAwarenessUpTheBlues
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $15K—Yes $423—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $9—Under $5.2K
Will Boluspor win on 2026-10-14?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $1.2K—Yes $757
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $702—Over $5
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268—Athletic Club $345
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 1 Athletic Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $548—Yes $2
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476—Under $64
Boluspor leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $127—No $270
CD Pamplona vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $132—Yes $3
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $14K—Under $22K
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14K—No $3.1K
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $499—No $15K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—No $4.4K—No $5.4K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
same side · consensus No
—No $3.1K—No $2.7K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $2.6K—Under $1.5K
Will Umraniyespor win on 2026-10-14?
same side · consensus No
—No $1.6K—No $1.1K
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751—Boluspor $1.5K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $572—Under $1.3K
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $343—Under $768
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $411—Under $677
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.0K—Over $7
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174—Under $791
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
same side · consensus CD Pamplona
—CD Pamplona $127—CD Pamplona $6
Will Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
—No $6—No $60
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $7—Under $12
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 3 Athletic Club?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $12—Yes $2