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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1whosay
Record (consensus markets)45% (573–710, n=1283)52% (6417–5939, n=12356)47% (13863–15370, n=29233)58% (1097–780, n=1877)
Consensus PnL$9.4M$3.3M$14.8M-$44K
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #21PM monthly #29 + pinnedPM monthly #681
Sides with the consensus85% (29 of 34 open)74% (131 of 178 open)52% (14 of 27 open)57% (4 of 7 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +14 pts n=49, ROI +25%
  • NHL +9 pts n=57, ROI +13%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
  • NBA +3 pts n=287, ROI +2%
  • Soccer +2 pts n=63, ROI +1%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—Tennis −4 pts, n=686
Settled positions, side won97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1482 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 25370 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%58% of 2028 at avg 60¢, ROI −1%
Entries under 30¢11% (won 80% of 61)29% (won 11% of 423)10% (won 57% of 2538)11% (won 16% of 228)
Entries 30–50¢35% (won 98% of 203)16% (won 40% of 243)22% (won 94% of 5565)26% (won 36% of 531)
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 201)17% (won 62% of 255)36% (won 99% of 9017)28% (won 58% of 565)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 115)38% (won 94% of 561)33% (won 100% of 8250)35% (won 88% of 704)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

13 on the same side, 14 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1whosay
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $14KOver $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.4KYes $1.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $1.1KOver $2.7K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $7—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $476Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $754Yes $375—
Exact Score: Al Ettifaq Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Hilal Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $349—Yes $776
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $466No $529—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $831Yes $61—
Will Al Ahli Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club end in a draw?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $650—Yes $160
Exact Score: Al Ahli Saudi Club 0 - 0 Al Taawoun Saudi Club?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $364—Yes $262
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 4.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $14Under $181—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $7Over $28—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Taipei: Yosuke Watanuki vs Masamichi Imamura
same side · consensus Yosuke Watanuki
—Yosuke Watanuki $1.9KYosuke Watanuki $286—
Rolex Paris Masters: Tommy Paul vs Quentin Halys
same side · consensus Quentin Halys
—Quentin Halys $861Quentin Halys $1.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $9Over $1.5K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $102Under $1.1K—
CD Universidad de Concepción vs. O'Higgins FC: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $52—Over $772
Spread: Umraniyespor (-1.5)
same side · consensus Boluspor
—Boluspor $751Boluspor $44—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $702Under $20—
Taipei: Harold Mayot vs Sho Shimabukuro
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $243Harold Mayot $123—
FK Radnicki Nis vs. FK Zeleznicar Pancevo: O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $249Under $48—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $116Yes $161—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $268Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $174Under $42—