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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
BreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tntlym
Record (consensus markets)41% (589–853, n=1442)53% (7602–6859, n=14461)48% (18678–20261, n=38939)no settled market
Consensus PnL$7.6M$4.1M$14.8M—
Tracked asPM monthly #3PM monthly #10PM monthly #35 + pinnedPM monthly #746
Sides with the consensus89% (31 of 35 open)64% (105 of 165 open)53% (25 of 47 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=142, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=107, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=52, ROI +24%
  • NHL +9 pts n=58, ROI +14%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—Other Sports −28 pts, n=15——
Settled positions, side won97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1398 at avg 54¢, ROI +28%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%100% of 14 at avg 83¢, ROI +17%
Entries under 30¢10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 403)10% (won 57% of 2594)0%
Entries 30–50¢36% (won 98% of 212)16% (won 38% of 228)22% (won 94% of 5704)0%
Entries 50–70¢35% (won 100% of 205)15% (won 62% of 214)35% (won 99% of 9204)0%
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 116)40% (won 94% of 553)33% (won 100% of 8622)100% (won 100% of 14)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

12 on the same side, 16 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

MarketBreakTheBankFlaznorpRN1tntlym
Will CF América win on 2026-11-07?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $16KNo $8.9K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $13KOver $1.7K—
Spread: Spurs (-11.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $6.3KTrail Blazers $121—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $4.5KYes $1.9K—
Hawai'i vs. UTEP
opposite sides · consensus Hawai'i
—Hawai'i $470UTEP $5.2K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $613Over $3.3K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $3.1KYes $6—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $2.6KOver $36—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 5.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Over $475Under $1.3K—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 2 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $851Yes $326—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: Draw at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—Yes $491No $524—
Athletic Club leading at halftime?
opposite sides · consensus No
—No $837Yes $60—
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Trail Blazers $160Spurs $696—
Exact Score: Umraniyespor 1 - 1 Boluspor?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
—Yes $272No $11—
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Trail Blazers
—Trail Blazers $9Spurs $236—
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)
opposite sides · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $235Trail Blazers $2—
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-11-07?
same side · consensus No
—No $33KNo $9.0K—
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?
same side · consensus No
—No $14KNo $2.5K—
Fresno State vs. Utah State
same side · consensus Fresno State
—Utah State $4Utah State $13K—
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Under $95Under $1.1K—
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Spurs $762Spurs $361—
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Trail Blazers $817Trail Blazers $4—
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 227.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $655Over $132—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 1.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $721Under $20—
Boluspor leading at halftime?
same side · consensus Yes
—Yes $173Yes $240—
Spread: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid (-1.5)
same side · consensus Athletic Club
—Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $246Rayo Vallecano de Madrid $1—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: O/U 3.5
same side · consensus Under
—Under $203Under $41—
Umraniyespor vs. Boluspor: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $51Over $29—