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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Trail Blazers — but Spurs won instead.

Spread: Spurs (-2.5)

Resolved Spurs. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Trail Blazers. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Trail Blazers 60%

Total Value

$140

Combined PnL

-$74.62

Smart Money Signal

Trail Blazers

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

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Outcome Probabilities

Spurs100%

Trail Blazers0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Trail Blazers5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares516

Combined PnL-$111.74

Spurs4 traders

Total Value$140

Total Shares140

Combined PnL+$37.12

Trail Blazers — 56%Spurs — 44%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
FL FlaznorpCTR<$100	Trail Blazersavg 13.5¢	$50.49	—	-$50.49	51% 46870-44196 (91066)
TA takeormake	Spursavg 74¢	$99.88	$135	+$35.12	52% 5499-5133 (10632)
PA Pan9XCTR<$100	Trail Blazersavg 45.3¢	$39.39	—	-$39.39	52% 27099-24604 (51703)
MA MadridTimeCTR<$100	Trail Blazersavg 41.2¢	$22.52	—	-$21.86	48% 2032-2230 (4262)
AM ameisgoat11<$100	Spursavg 60¢	$3	$5	+$2	52% 9470-8570 (18040)
HO HomeRunHazard<$100	Spursavg 59¢	—	—	+$0	54% 19942-16823 (36765)
65 6512395314597884<$100	Spursavg 85.6¢	—	—	+$0	51% 5614-5443 (11057)
0X 0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100	Trail Blazersavg 20.8¢	—	—	+$0	53% 3670-3275 (6945)
FO forecastication4CTR<$100	Trail Blazersavg 44¢	—	—	+$0	50% 1560-1566 (3126)

FlaznorpCTR<$100

Invested

$50.49

Value

—

PnL

-$50.49

Record

51%

46870-44196 (91066)

Invested

$99.88

Value

$135

PnL

+$35.12

Record

52%

5499-5133 (10632)

Invested

$39.39

Value

—

PnL

-$39.39

Record

52%

27099-24604 (51703)

MadridTimeCTR<$100

Invested

$22.52

Value

—

PnL

-$21.86

Record

48%

2032-2230 (4262)

ameisgoat11<$100

Invested

$3

Value

$5

PnL

+$2

Record

52%

9470-8570 (18040)

HomeRunHazard<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

54%

19942-16823 (36765)

6512395314597884<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

51%

5614-5443 (11057)

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6eCTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

53%

3670-3275 (6945)

forecastication4CTR<$100

Invested

—

Value

—

PnL

+$0

Record

50%

1560-1566 (3126)

Smart Money Signal

Trail Blazers

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x18c965a5...dce628

Slug

nba-sas-por-2026-11-07-spread-away-2pt5

Traders in this Market

Flaznorp

Trail Blazers — $0

takeormake

Spurs — $135

Pan9X

Trail Blazers — $0

MadridTime

Trail Blazers — $0

ameisgoat11

Spurs — $5

HomeRunHazard

Spurs — $0

6512395314597884

Spurs — $0

0x1bc32be106439240f59aa25668e613831a5cdc6e

Trail Blazers — $0

forecastication4

Trail Blazers — $0

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